Stock Analysis
Market Cool On Portobello S.p.A.'s (BIT:POR) Revenues Pushing Shares 25% Lower
Portobello S.p.A. (BIT:POR) shareholders won't be pleased to see that the share price has had a very rough month, dropping 25% and undoing the prior period's positive performance. For any long-term shareholders, the last month ends a year to forget by locking in a 75% share price decline.
In spite of the heavy fall in price, it's still not a stretch to say that Portobello's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.3x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the Media industry in Italy, where the median P/S ratio is around 0.4x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.
See our latest analysis for Portobello
What Does Portobello's P/S Mean For Shareholders?
Portobello hasn't been tracking well recently as its declining revenue compares poorly to other companies, which have seen some growth in their revenues on average. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is moderate because investors think this poor revenue performance will turn around. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Portobello will help you uncover what's on the horizon.What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/S?
The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/S like Portobello's is when the company's growth is tracking the industry closely.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 20% decrease to the company's top line. Even so, admirably revenue has lifted 62% in aggregate from three years ago, notwithstanding the last 12 months. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a very good job of growing revenue over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.
Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 22% per annum as estimated by the sole analyst watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to only expand by 5.0% per annum, which is noticeably less attractive.
With this in consideration, we find it intriguing that Portobello's P/S is closely matching its industry peers. Apparently some shareholders are skeptical of the forecasts and have been accepting lower selling prices.
The Bottom Line On Portobello's P/S
Following Portobello's share price tumble, its P/S is just clinging on to the industry median P/S. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
Despite enticing revenue growth figures that outpace the industry, Portobello's P/S isn't quite what we'd expect. When we see a strong revenue outlook, with growth outpacing the industry, we can only assume potential uncertainty around these figures are what might be placing slight pressure on the P/S ratio. At least the risk of a price drop looks to be subdued, but investors seem to think future revenue could see some volatility.
And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 4 warning signs for Portobello (of which 3 are potentially serious!) you should know about.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Portobello, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About BIT:POR
Portobello
Engages in the media and advertising business in Italy.