Stock Analysis

Here's Why KPI Green Energy (NSE:KPIGREEN) Has Caught The Eye Of Investors

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NSEI:KPIGREEN

Investors are often guided by the idea of discovering 'the next big thing', even if that means buying 'story stocks' without any revenue, let alone profit. But as Peter Lynch said in One Up On Wall Street, 'Long shots almost never pay off.' Loss-making companies are always racing against time to reach financial sustainability, so investors in these companies may be taking on more risk than they should.

So if this idea of high risk and high reward doesn't suit, you might be more interested in profitable, growing companies, like KPI Green Energy (NSE:KPIGREEN). Even if this company is fairly valued by the market, investors would agree that generating consistent profits will continue to provide KPI Green Energy with the means to add long-term value to shareholders.

See our latest analysis for KPI Green Energy

KPI Green Energy's Improving Profits

In the last three years KPI Green Energy's earnings per share took off; so much so that it's a bit disingenuous to use these figures to try and deduce long term estimates. As a result, we'll zoom in on growth over the last year, instead. To the delight of shareholders, KPI Green Energy's EPS soared from ₹20.23 to ₹26.82, over the last year. That's a impressive gain of 33%.

One way to double-check a company's growth is to look at how its revenue, and earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) margins are changing. EBIT margins for KPI Green Energy remained fairly unchanged over the last year, however the company should be pleased to report its revenue growth for the period of 59% to ₹10b. That's encouraging news for the company!

The chart below shows how the company's bottom and top lines have progressed over time. To see the actual numbers, click on the chart.

NSEI:KPIGREEN Earnings and Revenue History June 25th 2024

While profitability drives the upside, prudent investors always check the balance sheet, too.

Are KPI Green Energy Insiders Aligned With All Shareholders?

Many consider high insider ownership to be a strong sign of alignment between the leaders of a company and the ordinary shareholders. So as you can imagine, the fact that KPI Green Energy insiders own a significant number of shares certainly is appealing. Indeed, with a collective holding of 60%, company insiders are in control and have plenty of capital behind the venture. This should be seen as a good thing, as it means insiders have a personal interest in delivering the best outcomes for shareholders. ₹64b That level of investment from insiders is nothing to sneeze at.

While it's always good to see some strong conviction in the company from insiders through heavy investment, it's also important for shareholders to ask if management compensation policies are reasonable. A brief analysis of the CEO compensation suggests they are. Our analysis has discovered that the median total compensation for the CEOs of companies like KPI Green Energy with market caps between ₹84b and ₹267b is about ₹37m.

The CEO of KPI Green Energy only received ₹8.0m in total compensation for the year ending March 2023. That looks like a modest pay packet, and may hint at a certain respect for the interests of shareholders. CEO remuneration levels are not the most important metric for investors, but when the pay is modest, that does support enhanced alignment between the CEO and the ordinary shareholders. Generally, arguments can be made that reasonable pay levels attest to good decision-making.

Is KPI Green Energy Worth Keeping An Eye On?

If you believe that share price follows earnings per share you should definitely be delving further into KPI Green Energy's strong EPS growth. If you need more convincing beyond that EPS growth rate, don't forget about the reasonable remuneration and the high insider ownership. This may only be a fast rundown, but the key takeaway is that KPI Green Energy is worth keeping an eye on. It's still necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 4 warning signs with KPI Green Energy (at least 2 which are a bit unpleasant) , and understanding these should be part of your investment process.

While opting for stocks without growing earnings and absent insider buying can yield results, for investors valuing these key metrics, here is a carefully selected list of companies in IN with promising growth potential and insider confidence.

Please note the insider transactions discussed in this article refer to reportable transactions in the relevant jurisdiction.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if KPI Green Energy might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.