Stock Analysis

There's Reason For Concern Over Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone Limited's (NSE:ADANIPORTS) Price

Published
NSEI:ADANIPORTS

There wouldn't be many who think Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone Limited's (NSE:ADANIPORTS) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 31.8x is worth a mention when the median P/E in India is similar at about 34x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/E.

Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone certainly has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing earnings more than most other companies. One possibility is that the P/E is moderate because investors think this strong earnings performance might be about to tail off. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.

See our latest analysis for Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone

NSEI:ADANIPORTS Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry October 13th 2024
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone.

What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/E?

The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/E like Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone's is when the company's growth is tracking the market closely.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 53% gain to the company's bottom line. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 62% overall rise in EPS, aided by its short-term performance. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing earnings over that time.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 14% per year as estimated by the analysts watching the company. With the market predicted to deliver 21% growth per annum, the company is positioned for a weaker earnings result.

In light of this, it's curious that Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone's P/E sits in line with the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited growth expectations and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. These shareholders may be setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.

What We Can Learn From Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone's P/E?

Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

We've established that Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone currently trades on a higher than expected P/E since its forecast growth is lower than the wider market. When we see a weak earnings outlook with slower than market growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the moderate P/E lower. Unless these conditions improve, it's challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.

And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone you should know about.

If P/E ratios interest you, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

New: Manage All Your Stock Portfolios in One Place

We've created the ultimate portfolio companion for stock investors, and it's free.

• Connect an unlimited number of Portfolios and see your total in one currency
• Be alerted to new Warning Signs or Risks via email or mobile
• Track the Fair Value of your stocks

Try a Demo Portfolio for Free

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.