What Gretex Industries Limited's (NSE:GRETEX) P/E Is Not Telling You

There wouldn't be many who think Gretex Industries Limited's (NSE:GRETEX) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 28.6x is worth a mention when the median P/E in India is similar at about 31x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/E without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.

It looks like earnings growth has deserted Gretex Industries recently, which is not something to boast about. One possibility is that the P/E is moderate because investors think this benign earnings growth rate might not be enough to outperform the broader market in the near future. If not, then existing shareholders may be feeling hopeful about the future direction of the share price.

View our latest analysis for Gretex Industries

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Gretex Industries' earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Is There Some Growth For Gretex Industries?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the market for P/E ratios like Gretex Industries' to be considered reasonable.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered virtually the same number to the company's bottom line as the year before. That's essentially a continuation of what we've seen over the last three years, as its EPS growth has been virtually non-existent for that entire period. Accordingly, shareholders probably wouldn't have been satisfied with the complete absence of medium-term growth.

This is in contrast to the rest of the market, which is expected to grow by 24% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

With this information, we find it interesting that Gretex Industries is trading at a fairly similar P/E to the market. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited recent growth rates and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. They may be setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with recent growth rates.

What We Can Learn From Gretex Industries' P/E?

Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

We've established that Gretex Industries currently trades on a higher than expected P/E since its recent three-year growth is lower than the wider market forecast. Right now we are uncomfortable with the P/E as this earnings performance isn't likely to support a more positive sentiment for long. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.

And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 4 warning signs for Gretex Industries (of which 2 can't be ignored!) you should know about.

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with a strong growth track record, trading on a low P/E.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.