Stock Analysis
Zee Media Corporation Limited's (NSE:ZEEMEDIA) 28% Dip Still Leaving Some Shareholders Feeling Restless Over Its P/SRatio
Zee Media Corporation Limited (NSE:ZEEMEDIA) shareholders that were waiting for something to happen have been dealt a blow with a 28% share price drop in the last month. The recent drop has obliterated the annual return, with the share price now down 5.0% over that longer period.
Even after such a large drop in price, it's still not a stretch to say that Zee Media's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.4x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the Media industry in India, where the median P/S ratio is around 1.8x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.
View our latest analysis for Zee Media
How Zee Media Has Been Performing
Revenue has risen at a steady rate over the last year for Zee Media, which is generally not a bad outcome. Perhaps the expectation moving forward is that the revenue growth will track in line with the wider industry for the near term, which has kept the P/S subdued. Those who are bullish on Zee Media will be hoping that this isn't the case, so that they can pick up the stock at a lower valuation.
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Zee Media, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.Do Revenue Forecasts Match The P/S Ratio?
The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/S like Zee Media's is when the company's growth is tracking the industry closely.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a decent 6.9% gain to the company's revenues. However, this wasn't enough as the latest three year period has seen an unpleasant 12% overall drop in revenue. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 13% shows it's an unpleasant look.
With this in mind, we find it worrying that Zee Media's P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh on the share price eventually.
The Bottom Line On Zee Media's P/S
Following Zee Media's share price tumble, its P/S is just clinging on to the industry median P/S. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
The fact that Zee Media currently trades at a P/S on par with the rest of the industry is surprising to us since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term, all while the industry is set to grow. Even though it matches the industry, we're uncomfortable with the current P/S ratio, as this dismal revenue performance is unlikely to support a more positive sentiment for long. Unless the the circumstances surrounding the recent medium-term improve, it wouldn't be wrong to expect a a difficult period ahead for the company's shareholders.
A lot of potential risks can sit within a company's balance sheet. Take a look at our free balance sheet analysis for Zee Media with six simple checks on some of these key factors.
Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Zee Media might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NSEI:ZEEMEDIA
Zee Media
Engages in the publishing and broadcasting of satellite television channels in India and internationally.