Stock Analysis
Why We're Not Concerned About Affle (India) Limited's (NSE:AFFLE) Share Price
Affle (India) Limited's (NSE:AFFLE) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 53.6x might make it look like a strong sell right now compared to the market in India, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 28x and even P/E's below 15x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/E.
With earnings growth that's inferior to most other companies of late, Affle (India) has been relatively sluggish. It might be that many expect the uninspiring earnings performance to recover significantly, which has kept the P/E from collapsing. If not, then existing shareholders may be very nervous about the viability of the share price.
View our latest analysis for Affle (India)
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Affle (India).Does Growth Match The High P/E?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as steep as Affle (India)'s is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the market decidedly.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow earnings per share by a handy 7.4% last year. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 170% overall rise in EPS, aided somewhat by its short-term performance. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing earnings over that time.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the nine analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 33% per annum over the next three years. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to only expand by 20% each year, which is noticeably less attractive.
With this information, we can see why Affle (India) is trading at such a high P/E compared to the market. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.
The Bottom Line On Affle (India)'s P/E
It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
We've established that Affle (India) maintains its high P/E on the strength of its forecast growth being higher than the wider market, as expected. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/E as they are quite confident future earnings aren't under threat. It's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for Affle (India) that you should be aware of.
You might be able to find a better investment than Affle (India). If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NSEI:AFFLE
Affle (India)
Provides mobile advertisement services through information technology and software development services for mobiles in India and internationally.