Stock Analysis
PCBL Limited (NSE:PCBL) Stock Catapults 30% Though Its Price And Business Still Lag The Market
PCBL Limited (NSE:PCBL) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 30% after a shaky period beforehand. The annual gain comes to 108% following the latest surge, making investors sit up and take notice.
Even after such a large jump in price, PCBL may still be sending bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 25.5x, since almost half of all companies in India have P/E ratios greater than 35x and even P/E's higher than 67x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.
Recent times haven't been advantageous for PCBL as its earnings have been rising slower than most other companies. The P/E is probably low because investors think this lacklustre earnings performance isn't going to get any better. If this is the case, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.
View our latest analysis for PCBL
What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/E?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the market for P/E ratios like PCBL's to be considered reasonable.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow earnings per share by a handy 11% last year. This was backed up an excellent period prior to see EPS up by 43% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been superb for the company.
Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 17% each year as estimated by the four analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to expand by 21% per annum, which is noticeably more attractive.
In light of this, it's understandable that PCBL's P/E sits below the majority of other companies. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on while the company is potentially eyeing a less prosperous future.
The Key Takeaway
The latest share price surge wasn't enough to lift PCBL's P/E close to the market median. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
As we suspected, our examination of PCBL's analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior earnings outlook is contributing to its low P/E. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 2 warning signs for PCBL that you need to be mindful of.
If you're unsure about the strength of PCBL's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About NSEI:PCBL
PCBL
Together with subsidiaries, produces, sells, and exports carbon black in India and internationally.