Stock Analysis
Can Mixed Financials Have A Negative Impact on EPL Limited's 's (NSE:EPL) Current Price Momentum?
EPL's (NSE:EPL) stock up by 7.6% over the past three months. However, the company's financials look a bit inconsistent and market outcomes are ultimately driven by long-term fundamentals, meaning that the stock could head in either direction. Particularly, we will be paying attention to EPL's ROE today.
Return on equity or ROE is a key measure used to assess how efficiently a company's management is utilizing the company's capital. Put another way, it reveals the company's success at turning shareholder investments into profits.
Check out our latest analysis for EPL
How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?
The formula for return on equity is:
Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity
So, based on the above formula, the ROE for EPL is:
12% = ₹2.6b ÷ ₹22b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2024).
The 'return' is the income the business earned over the last year. That means that for every ₹1 worth of shareholders' equity, the company generated ₹0.12 in profit.
Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?
So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don’t share these attributes.
EPL's Earnings Growth And 12% ROE
When you first look at it, EPL's ROE doesn't look that attractive. However, the fact that the its ROE is quite higher to the industry average of 9.5% doesn't go unnoticed by us. However, EPL's five year net income growth was quite low averaging at only 2.6%. Remember, the company's ROE is quite low to begin with, just that it is higher than the industry average. Hence, this goes some way in explaining the low earnings growth.
Next, on comparing with the industry net income growth, we found that EPL's reported growth was lower than the industry growth of 17% over the last few years, which is not something we like to see.
The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. Is EPL fairly valued? This infographic on the company's intrinsic value has everything you need to know.
Is EPL Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?
With a high three-year median payout ratio of 60% (or a retention ratio of 40%), most of EPL's profits are being paid to shareholders. This definitely contributes to the low earnings growth seen by the company.
Moreover, EPL has been paying dividends for at least ten years or more suggesting that management must have perceived that the shareholders prefer dividends over earnings growth. Upon studying the latest analysts' consensus data, we found that the company's future payout ratio is expected to drop to 39% over the next three years. The fact that the company's ROE is expected to rise to 18% over the same period is explained by the drop in the payout ratio.
Conclusion
On the whole, we feel that the performance shown by EPL can be open to many interpretations. On the one hand, the company does have a decent rate of return, however, its earnings growth number is quite disappointing and as discussed earlier, the low retained earnings is hampering the growth. Having said that, looking at the current analyst estimates, we found that the company's earnings are expected to gain momentum. To know more about the company's future earnings growth forecasts take a look at this free report on analyst forecasts for the company to find out more.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NSEI:EPL
EPL
Manufactures and sells plastic packaging materials in the form of multilayer collapsible tubes, corrugated boxes, and laminates.