Stock Analysis

Some Shareholders Feeling Restless Over Ambuja Cements Limited's (NSE:AMBUJACEM) P/E Ratio

Published
NSEI:AMBUJACEM

When close to half the companies in India have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 33x, you may consider Ambuja Cements Limited (NSE:AMBUJACEM) as a stock to potentially avoid with its 43.5x P/E ratio. However, the P/E might be high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

Recent times have been advantageous for Ambuja Cements as its earnings have been rising faster than most other companies. The P/E is probably high because investors think this strong earnings performance will continue. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

Check out our latest analysis for Ambuja Cements

NSEI:AMBUJACEM Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry October 11th 2024
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Ambuja Cements will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

How Is Ambuja Cements' Growth Trending?

In order to justify its P/E ratio, Ambuja Cements would need to produce impressive growth in excess of the market.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew earnings per share by an impressive 51% last year. Despite this strong recent growth, it's still struggling to catch up as its three-year EPS frustratingly shrank by 16% overall. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the twelve analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 4.0% per annum over the next three years. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to expand by 20% each year, which is noticeably more attractive.

With this information, we find it concerning that Ambuja Cements is trading at a P/E higher than the market. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a good chance these shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.

What We Can Learn From Ambuja Cements' P/E?

Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

We've established that Ambuja Cements currently trades on a much higher than expected P/E since its forecast growth is lower than the wider market. When we see a weak earnings outlook with slower than market growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the high P/E lower. Unless these conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.

You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 2 warning signs for Ambuja Cements you should be aware of.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Ambuja Cements, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.