Stock Analysis
There's No Escaping McLeod Russel India Limited's (NSE:MCLEODRUSS) Muted Revenues Despite A 26% Share Price Rise
Despite an already strong run, McLeod Russel India Limited (NSE:MCLEODRUSS) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 26% in the last thirty days. Looking back a bit further, it's encouraging to see the stock is up 67% in the last year.
Although its price has surged higher, considering around half the companies operating in India's Food industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") above 1.1x, you may still consider McLeod Russel India as an solid investment opportunity with its 0.3x P/S ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.
Check out our latest analysis for McLeod Russel India
What Does McLeod Russel India's P/S Mean For Shareholders?
As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at McLeod Russel India over the last year, which is not ideal at all. Perhaps the market believes the recent revenue performance isn't good enough to keep up the industry, causing the P/S ratio to suffer. However, if this doesn't eventuate then existing shareholders may be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
Although there are no analyst estimates available for McLeod Russel India, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.Do Revenue Forecasts Match The Low P/S Ratio?
McLeod Russel India's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver limited growth, and importantly, perform worse than the industry.
Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 8.7%. As a result, revenue from three years ago have also fallen 18% overall. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.
In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 12% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.
With this information, we are not surprised that McLeod Russel India is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. Nonetheless, there's no guarantee the P/S has reached a floor yet with revenue going in reverse. There's potential for the P/S to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its top-line growth.
The Key Takeaway
McLeod Russel India's stock price has surged recently, but its but its P/S still remains modest. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
It's no surprise that McLeod Russel India maintains its low P/S off the back of its sliding revenue over the medium-term. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises either. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.
Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 4 warning signs for McLeod Russel India (2 shouldn't be ignored!) that you should be aware of.
If you're unsure about the strength of McLeod Russel India's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NSEI:MCLEODRUSS
McLeod Russel India
Engages in the cultivation, processing, manufacture, and sale of tea in India, Vietnam, Uganda, Rwanda, the United Kingdom, and internationally.