Stock Analysis

K.C.P. Sugar and Industries' (NSE:KCPSUGIND) five-year total shareholder returns outpace the underlying earnings growth

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NSEI:KCPSUGIND

It hasn't been the best quarter for K.C.P. Sugar and Industries Corporation Limited (NSE:KCPSUGIND) shareholders, since the share price has fallen 22% in that time. But that scarcely detracts from the really solid long term returns generated by the company over five years. In fact, the share price is 154% higher today. So while it's never fun to see a share price fall, it's important to look at a longer time horizon. Ultimately business performance will determine whether the stock price continues the positive long term trend.

Since the long term performance has been good but there's been a recent pullback of 11%, let's check if the fundamentals match the share price.

See our latest analysis for K.C.P. Sugar and Industries

While markets are a powerful pricing mechanism, share prices reflect investor sentiment, not just underlying business performance. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.

During five years of share price growth, K.C.P. Sugar and Industries achieved compound earnings per share (EPS) growth of 36% per year. The EPS growth is more impressive than the yearly share price gain of 21% over the same period. Therefore, it seems the market has become relatively pessimistic about the company. The reasonably low P/E ratio of 5.63 also suggests market apprehension.

You can see below how EPS has changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).

NSEI:KCPSUGIND Earnings Per Share Growth January 11th 2025

Dive deeper into K.C.P. Sugar and Industries' key metrics by checking this interactive graph of K.C.P. Sugar and Industries's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What About Dividends?

When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. In the case of K.C.P. Sugar and Industries, it has a TSR of 161% for the last 5 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.

A Different Perspective

K.C.P. Sugar and Industries provided a TSR of 15% over the year (including dividends). That's fairly close to the broader market return. It has to be noted that the recent return falls short of the 21% shareholders have gained each year, over half a decade. Although the share price growth has slowed, the longer term story points to a business well worth watching. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. To that end, you should be aware of the 3 warning signs we've spotted with K.C.P. Sugar and Industries .

Of course K.C.P. Sugar and Industries may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of growth stocks.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Indian exchanges.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if K.C.P. Sugar and Industries might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.