Stock Analysis
Take Care Before Diving Into The Deep End On Godfrey Phillips India Limited (NSE:GODFRYPHLP)
There wouldn't be many who think Godfrey Phillips India Limited's (NSE:GODFRYPHLP) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 32.3x is worth a mention when the median P/E in India is similar at about 33x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/E without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.
Godfrey Phillips India could be doing better as it's been growing earnings less than most other companies lately. One possibility is that the P/E is moderate because investors think this lacklustre earnings performance will turn around. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a relatively elevated price for a company with this sort of growth profile.
Check out our latest analysis for Godfrey Phillips India
Keen to find out how analysts think Godfrey Phillips India's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/E?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the market for P/E ratios like Godfrey Phillips India's to be considered reasonable.
If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 13%. Pleasingly, EPS has also lifted 108% in aggregate from three years ago, partly thanks to the last 12 months of growth. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing earnings over that time.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the sole analyst covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 25% each year over the next three years. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to only expand by 19% per year, which is noticeably less attractive.
In light of this, it's curious that Godfrey Phillips India's P/E sits in line with the majority of other companies. Apparently some shareholders are skeptical of the forecasts and have been accepting lower selling prices.
What We Can Learn From Godfrey Phillips India's P/E?
It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
Our examination of Godfrey Phillips India's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior earnings outlook isn't contributing to its P/E as much as we would have predicted. There could be some unobserved threats to earnings preventing the P/E ratio from matching the positive outlook. It appears some are indeed anticipating earnings instability, because these conditions should normally provide a boost to the share price.
Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for Godfrey Phillips India (1 shouldn't be ignored) you should be aware of.
Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than Godfrey Phillips India. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NSEI:GODFRYPHLP
Godfrey Phillips India
Manufactures and sells cigarettes, chewing products, and tobacco products primarily in India and internationally.