Stock Analysis

Balrampur Chini Mills Limited's (NSE:BALRAMCHIN) Price Is Right But Growth Is Lacking After Shares Rocket 25%

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NSEI:BALRAMCHIN

Despite an already strong run, Balrampur Chini Mills Limited (NSE:BALRAMCHIN) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 25% in the last thirty days. Looking back a bit further, it's encouraging to see the stock is up 42% in the last year.

In spite of the firm bounce in price, given about half the companies in India have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 35x, you may still consider Balrampur Chini Mills as an attractive investment with its 22.3x P/E ratio. However, the P/E might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

With earnings growth that's superior to most other companies of late, Balrampur Chini Mills has been doing relatively well. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think this strong earnings performance might be less impressive moving forward. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

View our latest analysis for Balrampur Chini Mills

NSEI:BALRAMCHIN Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry September 6th 2024
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Balrampur Chini Mills will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

Does Growth Match The Low P/E?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as low as Balrampur Chini Mills' is when the company's growth is on track to lag the market.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 55% gain to the company's bottom line. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow EPS by 33% in total over the last three years. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing earnings over that time.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 8.7% each year as estimated by the six analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to expand by 20% each year, which is noticeably more attractive.

With this information, we can see why Balrampur Chini Mills is trading at a P/E lower than the market. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on while the company is potentially eyeing a less prosperous future.

What We Can Learn From Balrampur Chini Mills' P/E?

The latest share price surge wasn't enough to lift Balrampur Chini Mills' P/E close to the market median. Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

We've established that Balrampur Chini Mills maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its forecast growth being lower than the wider market, as expected. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

Plus, you should also learn about these 3 warning signs we've spotted with Balrampur Chini Mills (including 1 which doesn't sit too well with us).

Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than Balrampur Chini Mills. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Balrampur Chini Mills might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.