Stock Analysis
Some Confidence Is Lacking In V.S.T. Tillers Tractors Limited's (NSE:VSTTILLERS) P/E
When close to half the companies in India have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 31x, you may consider V.S.T. Tillers Tractors Limited (NSE:VSTTILLERS) as a stock to potentially avoid with its 36.2x P/E ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the elevated P/E.
V.S.T. Tillers Tractors could be doing better as its earnings have been going backwards lately while most other companies have been seeing positive earnings growth. One possibility is that the P/E is high because investors think this poor earnings performance will turn the corner. If not, then existing shareholders may be extremely nervous about the viability of the share price.
See our latest analysis for V.S.T. Tillers Tractors
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on V.S.T. Tillers Tractors.Is There Enough Growth For V.S.T. Tillers Tractors?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as high as V.S.T. Tillers Tractors' is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the market.
If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 7.8%. Regardless, EPS has managed to lift by a handy 19% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the earlier period of growth. Accordingly, while they would have preferred to keep the run going, shareholders would be roughly satisfied with the medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 11% each year as estimated by the three analysts watching the company. With the market predicted to deliver 19% growth per year, the company is positioned for a weaker earnings result.
With this information, we find it concerning that V.S.T. Tillers Tractors is trading at a P/E higher than the market. It seems most investors are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects, but the analyst cohort is not so confident this will happen. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as this level of earnings growth is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.
The Final Word
While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.
Our examination of V.S.T. Tillers Tractors' analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior earnings outlook isn't impacting its high P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted. When we see a weak earnings outlook with slower than market growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the high P/E lower. Unless these conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.
Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 1 warning sign for V.S.T. Tillers Tractors that you should be aware of.
Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than V.S.T. Tillers Tractors. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NSEI:VSTTILLERS
V.S.T. Tillers Tractors
Manufactures and trades agriculture machinery in India and internationally.