Stock Analysis

Are Titagarh Rail Systems Limited's (NSE:TITAGARH) Fundamentals Good Enough to Warrant Buying Given The Stock's Recent Weakness?

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NSEI:TITAGARH

With its stock down 21% over the past three months, it is easy to disregard Titagarh Rail Systems (NSE:TITAGARH). However, the company's fundamentals look pretty decent, and long-term financials are usually aligned with future market price movements. Specifically, we decided to study Titagarh Rail Systems' ROE in this article.

Return on equity or ROE is an important factor to be considered by a shareholder because it tells them how effectively their capital is being reinvested. Put another way, it reveals the company's success at turning shareholder investments into profits.

See our latest analysis for Titagarh Rail Systems

How Is ROE Calculated?

The formula for ROE is:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Titagarh Rail Systems is:

13% = ₹3.0b ÷ ₹24b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2024).

The 'return' is the yearly profit. So, this means that for every ₹1 of its shareholder's investments, the company generates a profit of ₹0.13.

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

A Side By Side comparison of Titagarh Rail Systems' Earnings Growth And 13% ROE

At first glance, Titagarh Rail Systems' ROE doesn't look very promising. Yet, a closer study shows that the company's ROE is similar to the industry average of 14%. Looking at Titagarh Rail Systems' exceptional 61% five-year net income growth in particular, we are definitely impressed. Considering the moderately low ROE, it is quite possible that there might be some other aspects that are positively influencing the company's earnings growth. Such as - high earnings retention or an efficient management in place.

Next, on comparing with the industry net income growth, we found that Titagarh Rail Systems' growth is quite high when compared to the industry average growth of 28% in the same period, which is great to see.

NSEI:TITAGARH Past Earnings Growth November 26th 2024

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. It’s important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. Is TITAGARH fairly valued? This infographic on the company's intrinsic value has everything you need to know.

Is Titagarh Rail Systems Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

Titagarh Rail Systems' ' three-year median payout ratio is on the lower side at 3.5% implying that it is retaining a higher percentage (96%) of its profits. So it seems like the management is reinvesting profits heavily to grow its business and this reflects in its earnings growth number.

Additionally, Titagarh Rail Systems has paid dividends over a period of at least ten years which means that the company is pretty serious about sharing its profits with shareholders. Our latest analyst data shows that the future payout ratio of the company is expected to rise to 7.0% over the next three years. Regardless, the future ROE for Titagarh Rail Systems is speculated to rise to 18% despite the anticipated increase in the payout ratio. There could probably be other factors that could be driving the future growth in the ROE.

Summary

In total, it does look like Titagarh Rail Systems has some positive aspects to its business. Despite its low rate of return, the fact that the company reinvests a very high portion of its profits into its business, no doubt contributed to its high earnings growth. With that said, the latest industry analyst forecasts reveal that the company's earnings growth is expected to slow down. Are these analysts expectations based on the broad expectations for the industry, or on the company's fundamentals? Click here to be taken to our analyst's forecasts page for the company.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Titagarh Rail Systems might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.