Stock Analysis
BEML Limited (NSE:BEML) Shares Slammed 26% But Getting In Cheap Might Be Difficult Regardless
The BEML Limited (NSE:BEML) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a substantial 26%. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 14% in that time.
Even after such a large drop in price, BEML's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 42.8x might still make it look like a strong sell right now compared to the market in India, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 26x and even P/E's below 15x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.
Recent times have been advantageous for BEML as its earnings have been rising faster than most other companies. The P/E is probably high because investors think this strong earnings performance will continue. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
Check out our latest analysis for BEML
How Is BEML's Growth Trending?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as steep as BEML's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the market decidedly.
If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 47%. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow EPS by 71% in total over the last three years. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing earnings over that time.
Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 48% as estimated by the two analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to only expand by 26%, which is noticeably less attractive.
In light of this, it's understandable that BEML's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.
The Key Takeaway
Even after such a strong price drop, BEML's P/E still exceeds the rest of the market significantly. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
As we suspected, our examination of BEML's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior earnings outlook is contributing to its high P/E. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in earnings isn't great enough to justify a lower P/E ratio. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.
And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for BEML you should know about.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on BEML, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if BEML might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NSEI:BEML
BEML
Provides products and services to the mining and construction, rail and metro, power, and defense and aerospace sectors in India.