Stock Analysis

A Piece Of The Puzzle Missing From Ashoka Metcast Limited's (NSE:ASHOKAMET) 27% Share Price Climb

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NSEI:ASHOKAMET

Ashoka Metcast Limited (NSE:ASHOKAMET) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 27% gain in the last month alone. Looking back a bit further, it's encouraging to see the stock is up 30% in the last year.

Although its price has surged higher, given about half the companies in India have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 32x, you may still consider Ashoka Metcast as a highly attractive investment with its 7.4x P/E ratio. However, the P/E might be quite low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

Ashoka Metcast certainly has been doing a great job lately as it's been growing earnings at a really rapid pace. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think this strong earnings growth might actually underperform the broader market in the near future. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

See our latest analysis for Ashoka Metcast

NSEI:ASHOKAMET Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry October 31st 2024
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Ashoka Metcast will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

Does Growth Match The Low P/E?

Ashoka Metcast's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very poor growth or even falling earnings, and importantly, perform much worse than the market.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew earnings per share by an impressive 163% last year. Pleasingly, EPS has also lifted 580% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably welcomed those medium-term rates of earnings growth.

Comparing that to the market, which is only predicted to deliver 26% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is stronger based on recent medium-term annualised earnings results.

With this information, we find it odd that Ashoka Metcast is trading at a P/E lower than the market. It looks like most investors are not convinced the company can maintain its recent growth rates.

What We Can Learn From Ashoka Metcast's P/E?

Even after such a strong price move, Ashoka Metcast's P/E still trails the rest of the market significantly. Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

We've established that Ashoka Metcast currently trades on a much lower than expected P/E since its recent three-year growth is higher than the wider market forecast. There could be some major unobserved threats to earnings preventing the P/E ratio from matching this positive performance. At least price risks look to be very low if recent medium-term earnings trends continue, but investors seem to think future earnings could see a lot of volatility.

Plus, you should also learn about these 2 warning signs we've spotted with Ashoka Metcast.

If you're unsure about the strength of Ashoka Metcast's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.