Stock Analysis

Hanan Mor Group - Holdings (TLV:HNMR) Has No Shortage Of Debt

TASE:HNMR
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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We note that Hanan Mor Group - Holdings Ltd (TLV:HNMR) does have debt on its balance sheet. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

Check out our latest analysis for Hanan Mor Group - Holdings

What Is Hanan Mor Group - Holdings's Net Debt?

As you can see below, Hanan Mor Group - Holdings had ₪2.92b of debt at March 2023, down from ₪3.39b a year prior. However, it does have ₪79.9m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about ₪2.84b.

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TASE:HNMR Debt to Equity History June 3rd 2023

A Look At Hanan Mor Group - Holdings' Liabilities

The latest balance sheet data shows that Hanan Mor Group - Holdings had liabilities of ₪2.56b due within a year, and liabilities of ₪749.1m falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of ₪79.9m and ₪162.9m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total ₪3.07b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

This deficit casts a shadow over the ₪195.9m company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. After all, Hanan Mor Group - Holdings would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

Hanan Mor Group - Holdings's net debt to EBITDA ratio is 25.1 which suggests rather high debt levels, but its interest cover of 7.2 times suggests the debt is easily serviced. Overall we'd say it seems likely the company is carrying a fairly heavy swag of debt. Shareholders should be aware that Hanan Mor Group - Holdings's EBIT was down 30% last year. If that earnings trend continues then paying off its debt will be about as easy as herding cats on to a roller coaster. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Hanan Mor Group - Holdings will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Over the last three years, Hanan Mor Group - Holdings saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.

Our View

To be frank both Hanan Mor Group - Holdings's EBIT growth rate and its track record of staying on top of its total liabilities make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. But at least it's pretty decent at covering its interest expense with its EBIT; that's encouraging. We think the chances that Hanan Mor Group - Holdings has too much debt a very significant. To us, that makes the stock rather risky, like walking through a dog park with your eyes closed. But some investors may feel differently. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 5 warning signs for Hanan Mor Group - Holdings (of which 2 make us uncomfortable!) you should know about.

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Hanan Mor Group - Holdings is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.