Stock Analysis
Here's Why Shirble Department Store Holdings (China) (HKG:312) Has A Meaningful Debt Burden
The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. As with many other companies Shirble Department Store Holdings (China) Limited (HKG:312) makes use of debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
When Is Debt A Problem?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
View our latest analysis for Shirble Department Store Holdings (China)
How Much Debt Does Shirble Department Store Holdings (China) Carry?
The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Shirble Department Store Holdings (China) had CN¥554.1m in debt in June 2024; about the same as the year before. However, it also had CN¥46.6m in cash, and so its net debt is CN¥507.5m.
How Healthy Is Shirble Department Store Holdings (China)'s Balance Sheet?
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Shirble Department Store Holdings (China) had liabilities of CN¥623.8m falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥886.9m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥46.6m as well as receivables valued at CN¥58.3m due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling CN¥1.41b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
This deficit casts a shadow over the CN¥74.3m company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. At the end of the day, Shirble Department Store Holdings (China) would probably need a major re-capitalization if its creditors were to demand repayment.
In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.
Weak interest cover of 1.3 times and a disturbingly high net debt to EBITDA ratio of 6.2 hit our confidence in Shirble Department Store Holdings (China) like a one-two punch to the gut. The debt burden here is substantial. However, the silver lining was that Shirble Department Store Holdings (China) achieved a positive EBIT of CN¥80m in the last twelve months, an improvement on the prior year's loss. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Shirble Department Store Holdings (China) will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So it is important to check how much of its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) converts to actual free cash flow. During the last year, Shirble Department Store Holdings (China) generated free cash flow amounting to a very robust 87% of its EBIT, more than we'd expect. That positions it well to pay down debt if desirable to do so.
Our View
To be frank both Shirble Department Store Holdings (China)'s net debt to EBITDA and its track record of staying on top of its total liabilities make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. But at least it's pretty decent at converting EBIT to free cash flow; that's encouraging. Looking at the bigger picture, it seems clear to us that Shirble Department Store Holdings (China)'s use of debt is creating risks for the company. If everything goes well that may pay off but the downside of this debt is a greater risk of permanent losses. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for Shirble Department Store Holdings (China) (2 are a bit unpleasant) you should be aware of.
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SEHK:312
Shirble Department Store Holdings (China)
An investment holding company, operates and manages department stores and community shopping malls in the People’s Republic of China.