Stock Analysis

Private companies invested in BAIC Motor Corporation Limited (HKG:1958) copped the brunt of last week's HK$802m market cap decline

SEHK:1958
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Key Insights

  • Significant control over BAIC Motor by private companies implies that the general public has more power to influence management and governance-related decisions
  • A total of 2 investors have a majority stake in the company with 56% ownership
  • 10% of BAIC Motor is held by Institutions

A look at the shareholders of BAIC Motor Corporation Limited (HKG:1958) can tell us which group is most powerful. And the group that holds the biggest piece of the pie are private companies with 46% ownership. In other words, the group stands to gain the most (or lose the most) from their investment into the company.

And following last week's 5.1% decline in share price, private companies suffered the most losses.

In the chart below, we zoom in on the different ownership groups of BAIC Motor.

See our latest analysis for BAIC Motor

ownership-breakdown
SEHK:1958 Ownership Breakdown August 27th 2024

What Does The Institutional Ownership Tell Us About BAIC Motor?

Many institutions measure their performance against an index that approximates the local market. So they usually pay more attention to companies that are included in major indices.

We can see that BAIC Motor does have institutional investors; and they hold a good portion of the company's stock. This implies the analysts working for those institutions have looked at the stock and they like it. But just like anyone else, they could be wrong. If multiple institutions change their view on a stock at the same time, you could see the share price drop fast. It's therefore worth looking at BAIC Motor's earnings history below. Of course, the future is what really matters.

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SEHK:1958 Earnings and Revenue Growth August 27th 2024

We note that hedge funds don't have a meaningful investment in BAIC Motor. The company's largest shareholder is Beijing State-owned Capital Operation and Management Company Limited, with ownership of 46%. With 9.6% and 4.3% of the shares outstanding respectively, Mercedes-Benz Group AG and Shenzhen Benyuan Jinghong Fund Management Co., Ltd. are the second and third largest shareholders.

A more detailed study of the shareholder registry showed us that 2 of the top shareholders have a considerable amount of ownership in the company, via their 56% stake.

While it makes sense to study institutional ownership data for a company, it also makes sense to study analyst sentiments to know which way the wind is blowing. There are a reasonable number of analysts covering the stock, so it might be useful to find out their aggregate view on the future.

Insider Ownership Of BAIC Motor

The definition of an insider can differ slightly between different countries, but members of the board of directors always count. The company management answer to the board and the latter should represent the interests of shareholders. Notably, sometimes top-level managers are on the board themselves.

Insider ownership is positive when it signals leadership are thinking like the true owners of the company. However, high insider ownership can also give immense power to a small group within the company. This can be negative in some circumstances.

Our data cannot confirm that board members are holding shares personally. We do not see this low level of ownership often, and it is possible our data is imperfect. But shareholders can click here to check if insiders have been selling stock.

General Public Ownership

The general public-- including retail investors -- own 34% stake in the company, and hence can't easily be ignored. This size of ownership, while considerable, may not be enough to change company policy if the decision is not in sync with other large shareholders.

Private Company Ownership

Our data indicates that Private Companies hold 46%, of the company's shares. It's hard to draw any conclusions from this fact alone, so its worth looking into who owns those private companies. Sometimes insiders or other related parties have an interest in shares in a public company through a separate private company.

Public Company Ownership

We can see that public companies hold 9.6% of the BAIC Motor shares on issue. This may be a strategic interest and the two companies may have related business interests. It could be that they have de-merged. This holding is probably worth investigating further.

Next Steps:

While it is well worth considering the different groups that own a company, there are other factors that are even more important. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for BAIC Motor you should be aware of.

If you are like me, you may want to think about whether this company will grow or shrink. Luckily, you can check this free report showing analyst forecasts for its future.

NB: Figures in this article are calculated using data from the last twelve months, which refer to the 12-month period ending on the last date of the month the financial statement is dated. This may not be consistent with full year annual report figures.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if BAIC Motor might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.