Geely Automobile Holdings Limited's (HKG:175) Business Is Yet to Catch Up With Its Share Price

It's not a stretch to say that Geely Automobile Holdings Limited's (HKG:175) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 9.4x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the market in Hong Kong, where the median P/E ratio is around 10x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/E.

Recent times have been advantageous for Geely Automobile Holdings as its earnings have been rising faster than most other companies. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to wane, which has kept the P/E from rising. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.

See our latest analysis for Geely Automobile Holdings

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Geely Automobile Holdings.

How Is Geely Automobile Holdings' Growth Trending?

In order to justify its P/E ratio, Geely Automobile Holdings would need to produce growth that's similar to the market.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 198% gain to the company's bottom line. Pleasingly, EPS has also lifted 196% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing earnings over that time.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should bring diminished returns, with earnings decreasing 2.2% per annum as estimated by the analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the broader market is forecast to expand by 13% each year, which paints a poor picture.

With this information, we find it concerning that Geely Automobile Holdings is trading at a fairly similar P/E to the market. Apparently many investors in the company reject the analyst cohort's pessimism and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as these declining earnings are likely to weigh on the share price eventually.

The Final Word

Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

Our examination of Geely Automobile Holdings' analyst forecasts revealed that its outlook for shrinking earnings isn't impacting its P/E as much as we would have predicted. Right now we are uncomfortable with the P/E as the predicted future earnings are unlikely to support a more positive sentiment for long. This places shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.

You need to take note of risks, for example - Geely Automobile Holdings has 2 warning signs (and 1 which is concerning) we think you should know about.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.