Stock Analysis

Investors Give ZOO Digital Group plc (LON:ZOO) Shares A 28% Hiding

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AIM:ZOO

ZOO Digital Group plc (LON:ZOO) shares have had a horrible month, losing 28% after a relatively good period beforehand. Instead of being rewarded, shareholders who have already held through the last twelve months are now sitting on a 31% share price drop.

Following the heavy fall in price, ZOO Digital Group may be sending buy signals at present with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.5x, considering almost half of all companies in the Software industry in the United Kingdom have P/S ratios greater than 2.4x and even P/S higher than 5x aren't out of the ordinary. However, the P/S might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

View our latest analysis for ZOO Digital Group

AIM:ZOO Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry August 29th 2024

How ZOO Digital Group Has Been Performing

ZOO Digital Group could be doing better as its revenue has been going backwards lately while most other companies have been seeing positive revenue growth. It seems that many are expecting the poor revenue performance to persist, which has repressed the P/S ratio. If this is the case, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.

Keen to find out how analysts think ZOO Digital Group's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/S?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the industry for P/S ratios like ZOO Digital Group's to be considered reasonable.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 55% decrease to the company's top line. At least revenue has managed not to go completely backwards from three years ago in aggregate, thanks to the earlier period of growth. Accordingly, shareholders probably wouldn't have been overly satisfied with the unstable medium-term growth rates.

Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 49% as estimated by the four analysts watching the company. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 12% growth forecast for the broader industry.

With this in consideration, we find it intriguing that ZOO Digital Group's P/S sits behind most of its industry peers. It looks like most investors are not convinced at all that the company can achieve future growth expectations.

The Bottom Line On ZOO Digital Group's P/S

ZOO Digital Group's recently weak share price has pulled its P/S back below other Software companies. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

To us, it seems ZOO Digital Group currently trades on a significantly depressed P/S given its forecasted revenue growth is higher than the rest of its industry. When we see strong growth forecasts like this, we can only assume potential risks are what might be placing significant pressure on the P/S ratio. While the possibility of the share price plunging seems unlikely due to the high growth forecasted for the company, the market does appear to have some hesitation.

It is also worth noting that we have found 4 warning signs for ZOO Digital Group (1 is concerning!) that you need to take into consideration.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if ZOO Digital Group might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.