Stock Analysis

Shield Therapeutics plc's (LON:STX) Shift From Loss To Profit

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AIM:STX

With the business potentially at an important milestone, we thought we'd take a closer look at Shield Therapeutics plc's (LON:STX) future prospects. Shield Therapeutics plc, a specialty pharmaceutical company, focuses on commercialization of pharmaceuticals to treat unmet medical needs. The UK£14m market-cap company’s loss lessened since it announced a US$49m loss in the full financial year, compared to the latest trailing-twelve-month loss of US$49m, as it approaches breakeven. The most pressing concern for investors is Shield Therapeutics' path to profitability – when will it breakeven? In this article, we will touch on the expectations for the company's growth and when analysts expect it to become profitable.

See our latest analysis for Shield Therapeutics

Consensus from 3 of the British Pharmaceuticals analysts is that Shield Therapeutics is on the verge of breakeven. They anticipate the company to incur a final loss in 2024, before generating positive profits of US$15m in 2025. Therefore, the company is expected to breakeven just over a year from today. In order to meet this breakeven date, we calculated the rate at which the company must grow year-on-year. It turns out an average annual growth rate of 87% is expected, which is rather optimistic! Should the business grow at a slower rate, it will become profitable at a later date than expected.

AIM:STX Earnings Per Share Growth April 5th 2024

Given this is a high-level overview, we won’t go into details of Shield Therapeutics' upcoming projects, but, bear in mind that typically pharmaceuticals, depending on the stage of product development, have irregular periods of cash flow. This means, large upcoming growth rates are not abnormal as the company is beginning to reap the benefits of earlier investments.

One thing we’d like to point out is that The company has managed its capital prudently, with debt making up 21% of equity. This means that it has predominantly funded its operations from equity capital, and its low debt obligation reduces the risk around investing in the loss-making company.

Next Steps:

There are key fundamentals of Shield Therapeutics which are not covered in this article, but we must stress again that this is merely a basic overview. For a more comprehensive look at Shield Therapeutics, take a look at Shield Therapeutics' company page on Simply Wall St. We've also put together a list of relevant factors you should further research:

  1. Valuation: What is Shield Therapeutics worth today? Has the future growth potential already been factored into the price? The intrinsic value infographic in our free research report helps visualize whether Shield Therapeutics is currently mispriced by the market.
  2. Management Team: An experienced management team on the helm increases our confidence in the business – take a look at who sits on Shield Therapeutics’s board and the CEO’s background.
  3. Other High-Performing Stocks: Are there other stocks that provide better prospects with proven track records? Explore our free list of these great stocks here.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Shield Therapeutics is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

View the Free Analysis

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.