Stock Analysis
Bastei Lübbe AG (ETR:BST) Just Reported And Analysts Have Been Lifting Their Price Targets
Investors in Bastei Lübbe AG (ETR:BST) had a good week, as its shares rose 4.5% to close at €8.15 following the release of its yearly results. Results were roughly in line with estimates, with revenues of €112m and statutory earnings per share of €0.66. Earnings are an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance, look at what the analysts are forecasting for next year, and see if there's been a change in sentiment towards the company. We've gathered the most recent statutory forecasts to see whether the analysts have changed their earnings models, following these results.
Check out our latest analysis for Bastei Lübbe
Taking into account the latest results, the consensus forecast from Bastei Lübbe's two analysts is for revenues of €115.0m in 2025. This reflects a satisfactory 2.3% improvement in revenue compared to the last 12 months. Statutory per-share earnings are expected to be €0.67, roughly flat on the last 12 months. Yet prior to the latest earnings, the analysts had been anticipated revenues of €114.6m and earnings per share (EPS) of €0.63 in 2025. The analysts seems to have become more bullish on the business, judging by their new earnings per share estimates.
The consensus price target rose 12% to €9.70, suggesting that higher earnings estimates flow through to the stock's valuation as well.
Taking a look at the bigger picture now, one of the ways we can understand these forecasts is to see how they compare to both past performance and industry growth estimates. We would highlight that Bastei Lübbe's revenue growth is expected to slow, with the forecast 2.3% annualised growth rate until the end of 2025 being well below the historical 6.8% p.a. growth over the last five years. Compare this against other companies (with analyst forecasts) in the industry, which are in aggregate expected to see revenue growth of 5.6% annually. Factoring in the forecast slowdown in growth, it seems obvious that Bastei Lübbe is also expected to grow slower than other industry participants.
The Bottom Line
The most important thing here is that the analysts upgraded their earnings per share estimates, suggesting that there has been a clear increase in optimism towards Bastei Lübbe following these results. Fortunately, the analysts also reconfirmed their revenue estimates, suggesting that it's tracking in line with expectations. Although our data does suggest that Bastei Lübbe's revenue is expected to perform worse than the wider industry. We note an upgrade to the price target, suggesting that the analysts believes the intrinsic value of the business is likely to improve over time.
Following on from that line of thought, we think that the long-term prospects of the business are much more relevant than next year's earnings. At least one analyst has provided forecasts out to 2027, which can be seen for free on our platform here.
Don't forget that there may still be risks. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for Bastei Lübbe that you should be aware of.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Bastei Lübbe might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
Access Free AnalysisHave feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com
About XTRA:BST
Bastei Lübbe
A media company, publishes books, audio books, e-books, and other digital products in the genres of fiction and popular science content in Germany, Austria, Luxembourg, and Switzerland.