Stock Analysis

It's A Story Of Risk Vs Reward With Krones AG (ETR:KRN)

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XTRA:KRN

There wouldn't be many who think Krones AG's (ETR:KRN) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 16.6x is worth a mention when the median P/E in Germany is similar at about 16x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/E.

Krones' earnings growth of late has been pretty similar to most other companies. It seems that many are expecting the mediocre earnings performance to persist, which has held the P/E back. If this is the case, then at least existing shareholders won't be losing sleep over the current share price.

See our latest analysis for Krones

pe-multiple-vs-industry
XTRA:KRN Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry October 17th 2024
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Krones.

How Is Krones' Growth Trending?

The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/E like Krones' is when the company's growth is tracking the market closely.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a decent 5.7% gain to the company's bottom line. However, due to its less than impressive performance prior to this period, EPS growth is practically non-existent over the last three years overall. Accordingly, shareholders probably wouldn't have been overly satisfied with the unstable medium-term growth rates.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 19% each year as estimated by the nine analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to only expand by 15% per year, which is noticeably less attractive.

In light of this, it's curious that Krones' P/E sits in line with the majority of other companies. It may be that most investors aren't convinced the company can achieve future growth expectations.

The Final Word

Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

Our examination of Krones' analyst forecasts revealed that its superior earnings outlook isn't contributing to its P/E as much as we would have predicted. When we see a strong earnings outlook with faster-than-market growth, we assume potential risks are what might be placing pressure on the P/E ratio. At least the risk of a price drop looks to be subdued, but investors seem to think future earnings could see some volatility.

Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 1 warning sign for Krones that you should be aware of.

You might be able to find a better investment than Krones. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Krones might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.