Stock Analysis

Guangdong Baolihua New Energy Stock Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:000690) Financials Are Too Obscure To Link With Current Share Price Momentum: What's In Store For the Stock?

SZSE:000690
Source: Shutterstock

Most readers would already be aware that Guangdong Baolihua New Energy Stock's (SZSE:000690) stock increased significantly by 15% over the past three months. However, we wonder if the company's inconsistent financials would have any adverse impact on the current share price momentum. Specifically, we decided to study Guangdong Baolihua New Energy Stock's ROE in this article.

Return on equity or ROE is an important factor to be considered by a shareholder because it tells them how effectively their capital is being reinvested. In simpler terms, it measures the profitability of a company in relation to shareholder's equity.

Check out our latest analysis for Guangdong Baolihua New Energy Stock

How Is ROE Calculated?

The formula for ROE is:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Guangdong Baolihua New Energy Stock is:

8.7% = CN¥1.1b ÷ CN¥12b (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2024).

The 'return' is the profit over the last twelve months. Another way to think of that is that for every CN¥1 worth of equity, the company was able to earn CN¥0.09 in profit.

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company’s earnings growth potential. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

A Side By Side comparison of Guangdong Baolihua New Energy Stock's Earnings Growth And 8.7% ROE

At first glance, Guangdong Baolihua New Energy Stock's ROE doesn't look very promising. However, given that the company's ROE is similar to the average industry ROE of 7.5%, we may spare it some thought. But Guangdong Baolihua New Energy Stock saw a five year net income decline of 8.2% over the past five years. Bear in mind, the company does have a slightly low ROE. Hence, this goes some way in explaining the shrinking earnings.

However, when we compared Guangdong Baolihua New Energy Stock's growth with the industry we found that while the company's earnings have been shrinking, the industry has seen an earnings growth of 8.8% in the same period. This is quite worrisome.

past-earnings-growth
SZSE:000690 Past Earnings Growth April 30th 2024

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. If you're wondering about Guangdong Baolihua New Energy Stock's's valuation, check out this gauge of its price-to-earnings ratio, as compared to its industry.

Is Guangdong Baolihua New Energy Stock Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?

Despite having a normal three-year median payout ratio of 37% (where it is retaining 63% of its profits), Guangdong Baolihua New Energy Stock has seen a decline in earnings as we saw above. So there might be other factors at play here which could potentially be hampering growth. For example, the business has faced some headwinds.

Additionally, Guangdong Baolihua New Energy Stock has paid dividends over a period of at least ten years, which means that the company's management is determined to pay dividends even if it means little to no earnings growth.

Conclusion

Overall, we have mixed feelings about Guangdong Baolihua New Energy Stock. Even though it appears to be retaining most of its profits, given the low ROE, investors may not be benefitting from all that reinvestment after all. The low earnings growth suggests our theory correct. Having said that, looking at current analyst estimates, we found that the company's earnings growth rate is expected to see a huge improvement. To know more about the latest analysts predictions for the company, check out this visualization of analyst forecasts for the company.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Guangdong Baolihua New Energy Stock is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

View the Free Analysis

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.