Stock Analysis

Guangdong Zhengye Technology Co.,Ltd.'s (SZSE:300410) 27% Share Price Surge Not Quite Adding Up

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SZSE:300410

Guangdong Zhengye Technology Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:300410) shareholders are no doubt pleased to see that the share price has bounced 27% in the last month, although it is still struggling to make up recently lost ground. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 28% over that time.

Although its price has surged higher, there still wouldn't be many who think Guangdong Zhengye TechnologyLtd's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 2.7x is worth a mention when the median P/S in China's Electronic industry is similar at about 3.3x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.

Check out our latest analysis for Guangdong Zhengye TechnologyLtd

SZSE:300410 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry August 18th 2024

What Does Guangdong Zhengye TechnologyLtd's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at Guangdong Zhengye TechnologyLtd over the last year, which is not ideal at all. It might be that many expect the company to put the disappointing revenue performance behind them over the coming period, which has kept the P/S from falling. If you like the company, you'd at least be hoping this is the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Guangdong Zhengye TechnologyLtd will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

How Is Guangdong Zhengye TechnologyLtd's Revenue Growth Trending?

Guangdong Zhengye TechnologyLtd's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver moderate growth, and importantly, perform in line with the industry.

In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 8.9%. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 40% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 26% shows it's an unpleasant look.

With this information, we find it concerning that Guangdong Zhengye TechnologyLtd is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. Apparently many investors in the company are way less bearish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh on the share price eventually.

The Bottom Line On Guangdong Zhengye TechnologyLtd's P/S

Guangdong Zhengye TechnologyLtd appears to be back in favour with a solid price jump bringing its P/S back in line with other companies in the industry Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

Our look at Guangdong Zhengye TechnologyLtd revealed its shrinking revenues over the medium-term haven't impacted the P/S as much as we anticipated, given the industry is set to grow. Even though it matches the industry, we're uncomfortable with the current P/S ratio, as this dismal revenue performance is unlikely to support a more positive sentiment for long. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, investors will have a hard time accepting the share price as fair value.

You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 2 warning signs for Guangdong Zhengye TechnologyLtd you should be aware of.

If you're unsure about the strength of Guangdong Zhengye TechnologyLtd's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.