Stock Analysis

Is China World Trade Center Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:600007) Recent Stock Performance Tethered To Its Strong Fundamentals?

SHSE:600007
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China World Trade Center's (SHSE:600007) stock is up by a considerable 26% over the past three months. Given that the market rewards strong financials in the long-term, we wonder if that is the case in this instance. In this article, we decided to focus on China World Trade Center's ROE.

Return on equity or ROE is an important factor to be considered by a shareholder because it tells them how effectively their capital is being reinvested. Simply put, it is used to assess the profitability of a company in relation to its equity capital.

Check out our latest analysis for China World Trade Center

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

Return on equity can be calculated by using the formula:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for China World Trade Center is:

13% = CN¥1.3b ÷ CN¥9.7b (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2023).

The 'return' is the income the business earned over the last year. Another way to think of that is that for every CN¥1 worth of equity, the company was able to earn CN¥0.13 in profit.

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company’s earnings growth potential. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

China World Trade Center's Earnings Growth And 13% ROE

To start with, China World Trade Center's ROE looks acceptable. Especially when compared to the industry average of 4.7% the company's ROE looks pretty impressive. Probably as a result of this, China World Trade Center was able to see a decent growth of 8.8% over the last five years.

When you consider the fact that the industry earnings have shrunk at a rate of 6.5% in the same 5-year period, the company's net income growth is pretty remarkable.

past-earnings-growth
SHSE:600007 Past Earnings Growth April 26th 2024

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. What is 600007 worth today? The intrinsic value infographic in our free research report helps visualize whether 600007 is currently mispriced by the market.

Is China World Trade Center Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

While China World Trade Center has a three-year median payout ratio of 56% (which means it retains 44% of profits), the company has still seen a fair bit of earnings growth in the past, meaning that its high payout ratio hasn't hampered its ability to grow.

Additionally, China World Trade Center has paid dividends over a period of at least ten years which means that the company is pretty serious about sharing its profits with shareholders. Based on the latest analysts' estimates, we found that the company's future payout ratio over the next three years is expected to hold steady at 58%. As a result, China World Trade Center's ROE is not expected to change by much either, which we inferred from the analyst estimate of 12% for future ROE.

Conclusion

In total, we are pretty happy with China World Trade Center's performance. We are particularly impressed by the considerable earnings growth posted by the company, which was likely backed by its high ROE. While the company is paying out most of its earnings as dividends, it has been able to grow its earnings in spite of it, so that's probably a good sign. That being so, a study of the latest analyst forecasts show that the company is expected to see a slowdown in its future earnings growth. Are these analysts expectations based on the broad expectations for the industry, or on the company's fundamentals? Click here to be taken to our analyst's forecasts page for the company.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether China World Trade Center is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.