Stock Analysis
Shanghai Xiao Fang Pharmaceutical Co.,Ltd.'s (SHSE:603207) Share Price Boosted 29% But Its Business Prospects Need A Lift Too
Shanghai Xiao Fang Pharmaceutical Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:603207) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 29% gain in the last month alone. Longer-term shareholders would be thankful for the recovery in the share price since it's now virtually flat for the year after the recent bounce.
Even after such a large jump in price, Shanghai Xiao Fang PharmaceuticalLtd's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 26.5x might still make it look like a buy right now compared to the market in China, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 36x and even P/E's above 70x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/E.
For instance, Shanghai Xiao Fang PharmaceuticalLtd's receding earnings in recent times would have to be some food for thought. It might be that many expect the disappointing earnings performance to continue or accelerate, which has repressed the P/E. However, if this doesn't eventuate then existing shareholders may be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
Check out our latest analysis for Shanghai Xiao Fang PharmaceuticalLtd
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Shanghai Xiao Fang PharmaceuticalLtd will help you shine a light on its historical performance.How Is Shanghai Xiao Fang PharmaceuticalLtd's Growth Trending?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the market for P/E ratios like Shanghai Xiao Fang PharmaceuticalLtd's to be considered reasonable.
Taking a look back first, the company's earnings per share growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 3.4%. This has soured the latest three-year period, which nevertheless managed to deliver a decent 17% overall rise in EPS. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a good job of growing earnings over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.
Comparing that to the market, which is predicted to deliver 38% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is weaker based on recent medium-term annualised earnings results.
In light of this, it's understandable that Shanghai Xiao Fang PharmaceuticalLtd's P/E sits below the majority of other companies. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on to something they believe will continue to trail the bourse.
The Final Word
Despite Shanghai Xiao Fang PharmaceuticalLtd's shares building up a head of steam, its P/E still lags most other companies. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
We've established that Shanghai Xiao Fang PharmaceuticalLtd maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its recent three-year growth being lower than the wider market forecast, as expected. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 1 warning sign for Shanghai Xiao Fang PharmaceuticalLtd that you need to be mindful of.
If you're unsure about the strength of Shanghai Xiao Fang PharmaceuticalLtd's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SHSE:603207
Shanghai Xiao Fang PharmaceuticalLtd
Shanghai Xiao Fang Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd produces and sells medicines in China.