Stock Analysis

Is Hunan TV & Broadcast Intermediary (SZSE:000917) A Risky Investment?

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SZSE:000917

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We note that Hunan TV & Broadcast Intermediary Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000917) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Hunan TV & Broadcast Intermediary

What Is Hunan TV & Broadcast Intermediary's Debt?

As you can see below, Hunan TV & Broadcast Intermediary had CN¥3.46b of debt at March 2024, down from CN¥3.64b a year prior. However, it does have CN¥2.88b in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about CN¥578.1m.

SZSE:000917 Debt to Equity History August 27th 2024

How Strong Is Hunan TV & Broadcast Intermediary's Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Hunan TV & Broadcast Intermediary had liabilities of CN¥2.82b due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥2.88b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had CN¥2.88b in cash and CN¥934.6m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling CN¥1.89b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since Hunan TV & Broadcast Intermediary has a market capitalization of CN¥6.78b, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

Hunan TV & Broadcast Intermediary has a debt to EBITDA ratio of 3.3, which signals significant debt, but is still pretty reasonable for most types of business. But its EBIT was about 1k times its interest expense, implying the company isn't really paying a high cost to maintain that level of debt. Even were the low cost to prove unsustainable, that is a good sign. Shareholders should be aware that Hunan TV & Broadcast Intermediary's EBIT was down 46% last year. If that decline continues then paying off debt will be harder than selling foie gras at a vegan convention. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Hunan TV & Broadcast Intermediary can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. Over the last three years, Hunan TV & Broadcast Intermediary reported free cash flow worth 10% of its EBIT, which is really quite low. For us, cash conversion that low sparks a little paranoia about is ability to extinguish debt.

Our View

Mulling over Hunan TV & Broadcast Intermediary's attempt at (not) growing its EBIT, we're certainly not enthusiastic. But on the bright side, its interest cover is a good sign, and makes us more optimistic. Once we consider all the factors above, together, it seems to us that Hunan TV & Broadcast Intermediary's debt is making it a bit risky. That's not necessarily a bad thing, but we'd generally feel more comfortable with less leverage. Over time, share prices tend to follow earnings per share, so if you're interested in Hunan TV & Broadcast Intermediary, you may well want to click here to check an interactive graph of its earnings per share history.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Hunan TV & Broadcast Intermediary might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.