Stock Analysis
Beijing Gehua Catv NetworkLtd (SHSE:600037 investor five-year losses grow to 9.5% as the stock sheds CN¥765m this past week
While it may not be enough for some shareholders, we think it is good to see the Beijing Gehua Catv Network Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:600037) share price up 24% in a single quarter. But over the last half decade, the stock has not performed well. In fact, the share price is down 15%, which falls well short of the return you could get by buying an index fund.
After losing 6.7% this past week, it's worth investigating the company's fundamentals to see what we can infer from past performance.
Check out our latest analysis for Beijing Gehua Catv NetworkLtd
While the efficient markets hypothesis continues to be taught by some, it has been proven that markets are over-reactive dynamic systems, and investors are not always rational. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).
Beijing Gehua Catv NetworkLtd has made a profit in the past. However, it made a loss in the last twelve months, suggesting profit may be an unreliable metric at this stage. Other metrics might give us a better handle on how its value is changing over time.
The modest 0.4% dividend yield is unlikely to be guiding the market view of the stock. The revenue fall of 2.9% per year for five years is neither good nor terrible. But it's quite possible the market had expected better; a closer look at the revenue trends might explain the pessimism.
You can see how earnings and revenue have changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).
This free interactive report on Beijing Gehua Catv NetworkLtd's balance sheet strength is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.
What About Dividends?
When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. As it happens, Beijing Gehua Catv NetworkLtd's TSR for the last 5 years was -9.5%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!
A Different Perspective
While the broader market gained around 14% in the last year, Beijing Gehua Catv NetworkLtd shareholders lost 2.1% (even including dividends). Even the share prices of good stocks drop sometimes, but we want to see improvements in the fundamental metrics of a business, before getting too interested. Unfortunately, last year's performance may indicate unresolved challenges, given that it was worse than the annualised loss of 1.8% over the last half decade. We realise that Baron Rothschild has said investors should "buy when there is blood on the streets", but we caution that investors should first be sure they are buying a high quality business. You could get a better understanding of Beijing Gehua Catv NetworkLtd's growth by checking out this more detailed historical graph of earnings, revenue and cash flow.
If you are like me, then you will not want to miss this free list of undervalued small caps that insiders are buying.
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Beijing Gehua Catv NetworkLtd might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SHSE:600037
Beijing Gehua Catv NetworkLtd
Engages in the construction, management, operation, and maintenance of cable radio and television networks in China.