Stock Analysis

Is Wankai New Materials (SZSE:301216) A Risky Investment?

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SZSE:301216

Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We note that Wankai New Materials Co., Ltd. (SZSE:301216) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Wankai New Materials

How Much Debt Does Wankai New Materials Carry?

As you can see below, at the end of September 2024, Wankai New Materials had CN¥8.40b of debt, up from CN¥4.63b a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, it also had CN¥4.85b in cash, and so its net debt is CN¥3.55b.

SZSE:301216 Debt to Equity History December 19th 2024

How Healthy Is Wankai New Materials' Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Wankai New Materials had liabilities of CN¥6.21b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥5.60b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥4.85b as well as receivables valued at CN¥898.1m due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling CN¥6.06b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

When you consider that this deficiency exceeds the company's CN¥5.46b market capitalization, you might well be inclined to review the balance sheet intently. Hypothetically, extremely heavy dilution would be required if the company were forced to pay down its liabilities by raising capital at the current share price. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Wankai New Materials can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Over 12 months, Wankai New Materials saw its revenue hold pretty steady, and it did not report positive earnings before interest and tax. While that's not too bad, we'd prefer see growth.

Caveat Emptor

Over the last twelve months Wankai New Materials produced an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss. Indeed, it lost CN¥211m at the EBIT level. When we look at that alongside the significant liabilities, we're not particularly confident about the company. It would need to improve its operations quickly for us to be interested in it. Not least because it burned through CN¥999m in negative free cash flow over the last year. That means it's on the risky side of things. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Wankai New Materials that you should be aware of.

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Wankai New Materials might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.