Stock Analysis

Guangdong Kitech New Material Holding Co.,Ltd.'s (SZSE:300995) Has Been On A Rise But Financial Prospects Look Weak: Is The Stock Overpriced?

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SZSE:300995

Guangdong Kitech New Material HoldingLtd (SZSE:300995) has had a great run on the share market with its stock up by a significant 36% over the last three months. However, we decided to pay close attention to its weak financials as we are doubtful that the current momentum will keep up, given the scenario. In this article, we decided to focus on Guangdong Kitech New Material HoldingLtd's ROE.

Return on equity or ROE is an important factor to be considered by a shareholder because it tells them how effectively their capital is being reinvested. Simply put, it is used to assess the profitability of a company in relation to its equity capital.

View our latest analysis for Guangdong Kitech New Material HoldingLtd

How Is ROE Calculated?

The formula for ROE is:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Guangdong Kitech New Material HoldingLtd is:

1.4% = CN¥8.8m ÷ CN¥627m (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2024).

The 'return' is the profit over the last twelve months. One way to conceptualize this is that for each CN¥1 of shareholders' capital it has, the company made CN¥0.01 in profit.

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company’s earnings growth potential. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

Guangdong Kitech New Material HoldingLtd's Earnings Growth And 1.4% ROE

It is quite clear that Guangdong Kitech New Material HoldingLtd's ROE is rather low. Not just that, even compared to the industry average of 6.2%, the company's ROE is entirely unremarkable. For this reason, Guangdong Kitech New Material HoldingLtd's five year net income decline of 58% is not surprising given its lower ROE. We reckon that there could also be other factors at play here. For example, the business has allocated capital poorly, or that the company has a very high payout ratio.

However, when we compared Guangdong Kitech New Material HoldingLtd's growth with the industry we found that while the company's earnings have been shrinking, the industry has seen an earnings growth of 4.9% in the same period. This is quite worrisome.

SZSE:300995 Past Earnings Growth December 19th 2024

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. It’s important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. If you're wondering about Guangdong Kitech New Material HoldingLtd's's valuation, check out this gauge of its price-to-earnings ratio, as compared to its industry.

Is Guangdong Kitech New Material HoldingLtd Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?

Guangdong Kitech New Material HoldingLtd's high three-year median payout ratio of 115% suggests that the company is depleting its resources to keep up its dividend payments, and this shows in its shrinking earnings. Paying a dividend higher than reported profits is not a sustainable move. To know the 3 risks we have identified for Guangdong Kitech New Material HoldingLtd visit our risks dashboard for free.

Moreover, Guangdong Kitech New Material HoldingLtd has been paying dividends for three years, which is a considerable amount of time, suggesting that management must have perceived that the shareholders prefer consistent dividends even though earnings have been shrinking.

Conclusion

Overall, we would be extremely cautious before making any decision on Guangdong Kitech New Material HoldingLtd. Specifically, it has shown quite an unsatisfactory performance as far as earnings growth is concerned, and a poor ROE and an equally poor rate of reinvestment seem to be the reason behind this inadequate performance. So far, we've only made a quick discussion around the company's earnings growth. You can do your own research on Guangdong Kitech New Material HoldingLtd and see how it has performed in the past by looking at this FREE detailed graph of past earnings, revenue and cash flows.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.