Stock Analysis
Guangdong Quanwei Technology Co.,Ltd.'s (SZSE:300716) 49% Share Price Surge Not Quite Adding Up
Guangdong Quanwei Technology Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:300716) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 49% gain in the last month alone. The last 30 days bring the annual gain to a very sharp 43%.
After such a large jump in price, given around half the companies in China's Chemicals industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 2.4x, you may consider Guangdong Quanwei TechnologyLtd as a stock to avoid entirely with its 5.6x P/S ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.
Check out our latest analysis for Guangdong Quanwei TechnologyLtd
What Does Guangdong Quanwei TechnologyLtd's P/S Mean For Shareholders?
As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at Guangdong Quanwei TechnologyLtd over the last year, which is not ideal at all. Perhaps the market believes the company can do enough to outperform the rest of the industry in the near future, which is keeping the P/S ratio high. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Guangdong Quanwei TechnologyLtd, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For Guangdong Quanwei TechnologyLtd?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as steep as Guangdong Quanwei TechnologyLtd's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry decidedly.
In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 59%. As a result, revenue from three years ago have also fallen 76% overall. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 25% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.
With this information, we find it concerning that Guangdong Quanwei TechnologyLtd is trading at a P/S higher than the industry. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a very good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.
What We Can Learn From Guangdong Quanwei TechnologyLtd's P/S?
Shares in Guangdong Quanwei TechnologyLtd have seen a strong upwards swing lately, which has really helped boost its P/S figure. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
We've established that Guangdong Quanwei TechnologyLtd currently trades on a much higher than expected P/S since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term. Right now we aren't comfortable with the high P/S as this revenue performance is highly unlikely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless the the circumstances surrounding the recent medium-term improve, it wouldn't be wrong to expect a a difficult period ahead for the company's shareholders.
Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for Guangdong Quanwei TechnologyLtd that you should be aware of.
If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SZSE:300716
Guangdong Quanwei TechnologyLtd
Researches, develops, produces, sells, and services polymer materials and products in the People’s Republic of China and internationally.