Stock Analysis
MYS Group (SZSE:002303) Will Be Hoping To Turn Its Returns On Capital Around
When it comes to investing, there are some useful financial metrics that can warn us when a business is potentially in trouble. More often than not, we'll see a declining return on capital employed (ROCE) and a declining amount of capital employed. This combination can tell you that not only is the company investing less, it's earning less on what it does invest. So after glancing at the trends within MYS Group (SZSE:002303), we weren't too hopeful.
Return On Capital Employed (ROCE): What Is It?
If you haven't worked with ROCE before, it measures the 'return' (pre-tax profit) a company generates from capital employed in its business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for MYS Group:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.043 = CN¥240m ÷ (CN¥8.0b - CN¥2.5b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2024).
Therefore, MYS Group has an ROCE of 4.3%. On its own, that's a low figure but it's around the 4.7% average generated by the Packaging industry.
See our latest analysis for MYS Group
Historical performance is a great place to start when researching a stock so above you can see the gauge for MYS Group's ROCE against it's prior returns. If you want to delve into the historical earnings , check out these free graphs detailing revenue and cash flow performance of MYS Group.
The Trend Of ROCE
There is reason to be cautious about MYS Group, given the returns are trending downwards. About five years ago, returns on capital were 8.9%, however they're now substantially lower than that as we saw above. On top of that, it's worth noting that the amount of capital employed within the business has remained relatively steady. Since returns are falling and the business has the same amount of assets employed, this can suggest it's a mature business that hasn't had much growth in the last five years. So because these trends aren't typically conducive to creating a multi-bagger, we wouldn't hold our breath on MYS Group becoming one if things continue as they have.
In Conclusion...
In summary, it's unfortunate that MYS Group is generating lower returns from the same amount of capital. Long term shareholders who've owned the stock over the last five years have experienced a 24% depreciation in their investment, so it appears the market might not like these trends either. Unless there is a shift to a more positive trajectory in these metrics, we would look elsewhere.
MYS Group does have some risks, we noticed 2 warning signs (and 1 which is significant) we think you should know about.
For those who like to invest in solid companies, check out this free list of companies with solid balance sheets and high returns on equity.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About SZSE:002303
MYS Group
Develops, produces, and sells packaging products in China and internationally.