Stock Analysis
There May Be Some Bright Spots In Sichuan Lutianhua Company Limited By Shares' (SZSE:000912) Earnings
The market for Sichuan Lutianhua Company Limited By Shares' (SZSE:000912) shares didn't move much after it posted weak earnings recently. We did some digging, and we believe the earnings are stronger than they seem.
See our latest analysis for Sichuan Lutianhua Company Limited By Shares
Examining Cashflow Against Sichuan Lutianhua Company Limited By Shares' Earnings
As finance nerds would already know, the accrual ratio from cashflow is a key measure for assessing how well a company's free cash flow (FCF) matches its profit. To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.
That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. Notably, there is some academic evidence that suggests that a high accrual ratio is a bad sign for near-term profits, generally speaking.
Over the twelve months to June 2024, Sichuan Lutianhua Company Limited By Shares recorded an accrual ratio of -0.15. Therefore, its statutory earnings were very significantly less than its free cashflow. To wit, it produced free cash flow of CN¥585m during the period, dwarfing its reported profit of CN¥129.9m. Given that Sichuan Lutianhua Company Limited By Shares had negative free cash flow in the prior corresponding period, the trailing twelve month resul of CN¥585m would seem to be a step in the right direction. Having said that, there is more to the story. The accrual ratio is reflecting the impact of unusual items on statutory profit, at least in part.
Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Sichuan Lutianhua Company Limited By Shares.
The Impact Of Unusual Items On Profit
Sichuan Lutianhua Company Limited By Shares' profit was reduced by unusual items worth CN¥129m in the last twelve months, and this helped it produce high cash conversion, as reflected by its unusual items. This is what you'd expect to see where a company has a non-cash charge reducing paper profits. While deductions due to unusual items are disappointing in the first instance, there is a silver lining. We looked at thousands of listed companies and found that unusual items are very often one-off in nature. And that's hardly a surprise given these line items are considered unusual. In the twelve months to June 2024, Sichuan Lutianhua Company Limited By Shares had a big unusual items expense. All else being equal, this would likely have the effect of making the statutory profit look worse than its underlying earnings power.
Our Take On Sichuan Lutianhua Company Limited By Shares' Profit Performance
In conclusion, both Sichuan Lutianhua Company Limited By Shares' accrual ratio and its unusual items suggest that its statutory earnings are probably reasonably conservative. Based on these factors, we think Sichuan Lutianhua Company Limited By Shares' underlying earnings potential is as good as, or probably even better, than the statutory profit makes it seem! In light of this, if you'd like to do more analysis on the company, it's vital to be informed of the risks involved. In terms of investment risks, we've identified 1 warning sign with Sichuan Lutianhua Company Limited By Shares, and understanding it should be part of your investment process.
Our examination of Sichuan Lutianhua Company Limited By Shares has focussed on certain factors that can make its earnings look better than they are. And it has passed with flying colours. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.
New: Manage All Your Stock Portfolios in One Place
We've created the ultimate portfolio companion for stock investors, and it's free.
• Connect an unlimited number of Portfolios and see your total in one currency
• Be alerted to new Warning Signs or Risks via email or mobile
• Track the Fair Value of your stocks
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SZSE:000912
Sichuan Lutianhua Company Limited By Shares
Produces and sells fertilizer and chemical products in China.