Stock Analysis

Huludao Zinc IndustryLtd (SZSE:000751) Has A Somewhat Strained Balance Sheet

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SZSE:000751

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We note that Huludao Zinc Industry Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:000751) does have debt on its balance sheet. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Huludao Zinc IndustryLtd

How Much Debt Does Huludao Zinc IndustryLtd Carry?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Huludao Zinc IndustryLtd had debt of CN¥2.41b at the end of June 2024, a reduction from CN¥2.61b over a year. On the flip side, it has CN¥1.60b in cash leading to net debt of about CN¥806.4m.

SZSE:000751 Debt to Equity History September 30th 2024

How Healthy Is Huludao Zinc IndustryLtd's Balance Sheet?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Huludao Zinc IndustryLtd had liabilities of CN¥4.90b due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥179.6m falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥1.60b as well as receivables valued at CN¥346.3m due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling CN¥3.13b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

This is a mountain of leverage relative to its market capitalization of CN¥4.59b. This suggests shareholders would be heavily diluted if the company needed to shore up its balance sheet in a hurry.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

Even though Huludao Zinc IndustryLtd's debt is only 1.7, its interest cover is really very low at 1.6. This does suggest the company is paying fairly high interest rates. Either way there's no doubt the stock is using meaningful leverage. We saw Huludao Zinc IndustryLtd grow its EBIT by 8.4% in the last twelve months. That's far from incredible but it is a good thing, when it comes to paying off debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Huludao Zinc IndustryLtd will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Considering the last three years, Huludao Zinc IndustryLtd actually recorded a cash outflow, overall. Debt is usually more expensive, and almost always more risky in the hands of a company with negative free cash flow. Shareholders ought to hope for an improvement.

Our View

To be frank both Huludao Zinc IndustryLtd's interest cover and its track record of converting EBIT to free cash flow make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. But at least it's pretty decent at growing its EBIT; that's encouraging. Overall, we think it's fair to say that Huludao Zinc IndustryLtd has enough debt that there are some real risks around the balance sheet. If all goes well, that should boost returns, but on the flip side, the risk of permanent capital loss is elevated by the debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. We've identified 3 warning signs with Huludao Zinc IndustryLtd (at least 1 which is a bit unpleasant) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Huludao Zinc IndustryLtd might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.