Stock Analysis
Investors Aren't Buying Wanhua Chemical Group Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:600309) Earnings
When close to half the companies in China have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 33x, you may consider Wanhua Chemical Group Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600309) as a highly attractive investment with its 16.3x P/E ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so limited.
Recent times have been pleasing for Wanhua Chemical Group as its earnings have risen in spite of the market's earnings going into reverse. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think the company's earnings are going to fall away like everyone else's soon. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
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In order to justify its P/E ratio, Wanhua Chemical Group would need to produce anemic growth that's substantially trailing the market.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a decent 14% gain to the company's bottom line. Ultimately though, it couldn't turn around the poor performance of the prior period, with EPS shrinking 21% in total over the last three years. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing earnings over that time.
Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 13% per annum during the coming three years according to the analysts following the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to expand by 19% per year, which is noticeably more attractive.
In light of this, it's understandable that Wanhua Chemical Group's P/E sits below the majority of other companies. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on while the company is potentially eyeing a less prosperous future.
The Final Word
Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
We've established that Wanhua Chemical Group maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its forecast growth being lower than the wider market, as expected. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.
You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 2 warning signs for Wanhua Chemical Group you should be aware of.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SHSE:600309
Wanhua Chemical Group
Provides polyurethane, petrochemical, and performance chemicals and materials worldwide.