Yunnan Energy Investment (SZSE:002053) Takes On Some Risk With Its Use Of Debt

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. As with many other companies Yunnan Energy Investment Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002053) makes use of debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

See our latest analysis for Yunnan Energy Investment

What Is Yunnan Energy Investment's Debt?

As you can see below, at the end of September 2024, Yunnan Energy Investment had CN¥7.92b of debt, up from CN¥6.75b a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, because it has a cash reserve of CN¥2.28b, its net debt is less, at about CN¥5.64b.

A Look At Yunnan Energy Investment's Liabilities

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Yunnan Energy Investment had liabilities of CN¥2.72b due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥7.26b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥2.28b as well as receivables valued at CN¥1.72b due within 12 months. So its liabilities total CN¥5.98b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

This deficit isn't so bad because Yunnan Energy Investment is worth CN¥10.6b, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

Yunnan Energy Investment's net debt is 4.8 times its EBITDA, which is a significant but still reasonable amount of leverage. But its EBIT was about 10.0 times its interest expense, implying the company isn't really paying a high cost to maintain that level of debt. Even were the low cost to prove unsustainable, that is a good sign. Importantly, Yunnan Energy Investment grew its EBIT by 54% over the last twelve months, and that growth will make it easier to handle its debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Yunnan Energy Investment's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. During the last three years, Yunnan Energy Investment burned a lot of cash. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.

Our View

Yunnan Energy Investment's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow and net debt to EBITDA definitely weigh on it, in our esteem. But the good news is it seems to be able to grow its EBIT with ease. Looking at all the angles mentioned above, it does seem to us that Yunnan Energy Investment is a somewhat risky investment as a result of its debt. Not all risk is bad, as it can boost share price returns if it pays off, but this debt risk is worth keeping in mind. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Yunnan Energy Investment (1 is a bit concerning!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.