Stock Analysis

Investors Could Be Concerned With Jiugui Liquor's (SZSE:000799) Returns On Capital

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SZSE:000799

What trends should we look for it we want to identify stocks that can multiply in value over the long term? In a perfect world, we'd like to see a company investing more capital into its business and ideally the returns earned from that capital are also increasing. Ultimately, this demonstrates that it's a business that is reinvesting profits at increasing rates of return. Although, when we looked at Jiugui Liquor (SZSE:000799), it didn't seem to tick all of these boxes.

Return On Capital Employed (ROCE): What Is It?

For those who don't know, ROCE is a measure of a company's yearly pre-tax profit (its return), relative to the capital employed in the business. To calculate this metric for Jiugui Liquor, this is the formula:

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)

0.02 = CN¥80m ÷ (CN¥5.0b - CN¥999m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2024).

Therefore, Jiugui Liquor has an ROCE of 2.0%. Ultimately, that's a low return and it under-performs the Beverage industry average of 18%.

Check out our latest analysis for Jiugui Liquor

SZSE:000799 Return on Capital Employed February 25th 2025

In the above chart we have measured Jiugui Liquor's prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you'd like, you can check out the forecasts from the analysts covering Jiugui Liquor for free.

So How Is Jiugui Liquor's ROCE Trending?

In terms of Jiugui Liquor's historical ROCE movements, the trend isn't fantastic. To be more specific, ROCE has fallen from 13% over the last five years. Given the business is employing more capital while revenue has slipped, this is a bit concerning. This could mean that the business is losing its competitive advantage or market share, because while more money is being put into ventures, it's actually producing a lower return - "less bang for their buck" per se.

What We Can Learn From Jiugui Liquor's ROCE

From the above analysis, we find it rather worrisome that returns on capital and sales for Jiugui Liquor have fallen, meanwhile the business is employing more capital than it was five years ago. But investors must be expecting an improvement of sorts because over the last five yearsthe stock has delivered a respectable 48% return. Regardless, we don't feel too comfortable with the fundamentals so we'd be steering clear of this stock for now.

Jiugui Liquor does come with some risks though, we found 3 warning signs in our investment analysis, and 2 of those are concerning...

While Jiugui Liquor may not currently earn the highest returns, we've compiled a list of companies that currently earn more than 25% return on equity. Check out this free list here.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.