Stock Analysis

Zhengzhou Coal Industry & Electric Power's (SHSE:600121) Returns On Capital Not Reflecting Well On The Business

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SHSE:600121

If you're looking at a mature business that's past the growth phase, what are some of the underlying trends that pop up? Businesses in decline often have two underlying trends, firstly, a declining return on capital employed (ROCE) and a declining base of capital employed. Ultimately this means that the company is earning less per dollar invested and on top of that, it's shrinking its base of capital employed. And from a first read, things don't look too good at Zhengzhou Coal Industry & Electric Power (SHSE:600121), so let's see why.

What Is Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)?

For those who don't know, ROCE is a measure of a company's yearly pre-tax profit (its return), relative to the capital employed in the business. To calculate this metric for Zhengzhou Coal Industry & Electric Power, this is the formula:

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)

0.11 = CN¥411m ÷ (CN¥14b - CN¥10.0b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2024).

Thus, Zhengzhou Coal Industry & Electric Power has an ROCE of 11%. That's a pretty standard return and it's in line with the industry average of 11%.

See our latest analysis for Zhengzhou Coal Industry & Electric Power

SHSE:600121 Return on Capital Employed May 31st 2024

While the past is not representative of the future, it can be helpful to know how a company has performed historically, which is why we have this chart above. If you want to delve into the historical earnings , check out these free graphs detailing revenue and cash flow performance of Zhengzhou Coal Industry & Electric Power.

The Trend Of ROCE

We are a bit anxious about the trends of ROCE at Zhengzhou Coal Industry & Electric Power. Unfortunately, returns have declined substantially over the last five years to the 11% we see today. What's equally concerning is that the amount of capital deployed in the business has shrunk by 22% over that same period. The fact that both are shrinking is an indication that the business is going through some tough times. If these underlying trends continue, we wouldn't be too optimistic going forward.

On a side note, Zhengzhou Coal Industry & Electric Power's current liabilities are still rather high at 72% of total assets. This effectively means that suppliers (or short-term creditors) are funding a large portion of the business, so just be aware that this can introduce some elements of risk. While it's not necessarily a bad thing, it can be beneficial if this ratio is lower.

The Key Takeaway

In short, lower returns and decreasing amounts capital employed in the business doesn't fill us with confidence. However the stock has delivered a 47% return to shareholders over the last five years, so investors might be expecting the trends to turn around. In any case, the current underlying trends don't bode well for long term performance so unless they reverse, we'd start looking elsewhere.

While Zhengzhou Coal Industry & Electric Power doesn't shine too bright in this respect, it's still worth seeing if the company is trading at attractive prices. You can find that out with our FREE intrinsic value estimation for 600121 on our platform.

While Zhengzhou Coal Industry & Electric Power may not currently earn the highest returns, we've compiled a list of companies that currently earn more than 25% return on equity. Check out this free list here.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Zhengzhou Coal Industry & Electric Power is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.