Stock Analysis

Is Zhejiang Supor (SZSE:002032) A Risky Investment?

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SZSE:002032

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. Importantly, Zhejiang Supor Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002032) does carry debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Zhejiang Supor

What Is Zhejiang Supor's Debt?

As you can see below, at the end of September 2024, Zhejiang Supor had CN¥200.0m of debt, up from CN¥3.91m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. But on the other hand it also has CN¥3.23b in cash, leading to a CN¥3.03b net cash position.

SZSE:002032 Debt to Equity History December 1st 2024

A Look At Zhejiang Supor's Liabilities

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Zhejiang Supor had liabilities of CN¥6.11b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥227.7m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥3.23b in cash and CN¥3.68b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it can boast CN¥574.0m more liquid assets than total liabilities.

This state of affairs indicates that Zhejiang Supor's balance sheet looks quite solid, as its total liabilities are just about equal to its liquid assets. So it's very unlikely that the CN¥41.7b company is short on cash, but still worth keeping an eye on the balance sheet. Simply put, the fact that Zhejiang Supor has more cash than debt is arguably a good indication that it can manage its debt safely.

And we also note warmly that Zhejiang Supor grew its EBIT by 16% last year, making its debt load easier to handle. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Zhejiang Supor's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. Zhejiang Supor may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. Over the last three years, Zhejiang Supor actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT. There's nothing better than incoming cash when it comes to staying in your lenders' good graces.

Summing Up

While it is always sensible to investigate a company's debt, in this case Zhejiang Supor has CN¥3.03b in net cash and a decent-looking balance sheet. The cherry on top was that in converted 105% of that EBIT to free cash flow, bringing in CN¥1.9b. So we don't think Zhejiang Supor's use of debt is risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example, we've discovered 1 warning sign for Zhejiang Supor that you should be aware of before investing here.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Zhejiang Supor might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.