Stock Analysis
Nanxing Machinery Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:002757) Share Price Boosted 26% But Its Business Prospects Need A Lift Too
Nanxing Machinery Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002757) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 26% gain in the last month alone. While recent buyers may be laughing, long-term holders might not be as pleased since the recent gain only brings the stock back to where it started a year ago.
Although its price has surged higher, Nanxing Machinery may still be sending bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 32.9x, since almost half of all companies in China have P/E ratios greater than 37x and even P/E's higher than 73x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.
For example, consider that Nanxing Machinery's financial performance has been poor lately as its earnings have been in decline. It might be that many expect the disappointing earnings performance to continue or accelerate, which has repressed the P/E. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
See our latest analysis for Nanxing Machinery
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Nanxing Machinery will help you shine a light on its historical performance.Does Growth Match The Low P/E?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as low as Nanxing Machinery's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the market.
If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 56%. This means it has also seen a slide in earnings over the longer-term as EPS is down 53% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
In contrast to the company, the rest of the market is expected to grow by 39% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term earnings decline into perspective.
In light of this, it's understandable that Nanxing Machinery's P/E would sit below the majority of other companies. Nonetheless, there's no guarantee the P/E has reached a floor yet with earnings going in reverse. Even just maintaining these prices could be difficult to achieve as recent earnings trends are already weighing down the shares.
The Key Takeaway
Nanxing Machinery's stock might have been given a solid boost, but its P/E certainly hasn't reached any great heights. It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
As we suspected, our examination of Nanxing Machinery revealed its shrinking earnings over the medium-term are contributing to its low P/E, given the market is set to grow. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it's hard to see the share price moving strongly in either direction in the near future under these circumstances.
Before you take the next step, you should know about the 4 warning signs for Nanxing Machinery (2 are significant!) that we have uncovered.
If you're unsure about the strength of Nanxing Machinery's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SZSE:002757
Nanxing Machinery
Engages in the research and development, production, sales, and services for wood processing machinery in China, Germany, the United States, Russia, the Middle East, rest of Asia, and internationally.