Stock Analysis
Why We're Not Concerned About Shanghai Zhenhua Heavy Industries Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:600320) Share Price
With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 32.7x Shanghai Zhenhua Heavy Industries Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600320) may be sending bearish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all companies in China have P/E ratios under 26x and even P/E's lower than 16x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the elevated P/E.
Shanghai Zhenhua Heavy Industries certainly has been doing a good job lately as its earnings growth has been positive while most other companies have been seeing their earnings go backwards. It seems that many are expecting the company to continue defying the broader market adversity, which has increased investors’ willingness to pay up for the stock. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
See our latest analysis for Shanghai Zhenhua Heavy Industries
Does Growth Match The High P/E?
In order to justify its P/E ratio, Shanghai Zhenhua Heavy Industries would need to produce impressive growth in excess of the market.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a decent 4.9% gain to the company's bottom line. The solid recent performance means it was also able to grow EPS by 11% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably been satisfied with the medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 38% each year during the coming three years according to the only analyst following the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to only expand by 21% per annum, which is noticeably less attractive.
With this information, we can see why Shanghai Zhenhua Heavy Industries is trading at such a high P/E compared to the market. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.
The Bottom Line On Shanghai Zhenhua Heavy Industries' P/E
Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
As we suspected, our examination of Shanghai Zhenhua Heavy Industries' analyst forecasts revealed that its superior earnings outlook is contributing to its high P/E. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in earnings isn't great enough to justify a lower P/E ratio. It's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
Plus, you should also learn about these 3 warning signs we've spotted with Shanghai Zhenhua Heavy Industries (including 1 which can't be ignored).
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SHSE:600320
Shanghai Zhenhua Heavy Industries
Shanghai Zhenhua Heavy Industries Co., Ltd.