Stock Analysis

Shareholders in Autoneum Holding (VTX:AUTN) have lost 16%, as stock drops 5.1% this past week

SWX:AUTN
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While not a mind-blowing move, it is good to see that the Autoneum Holding AG (VTX:AUTN) share price has gained 18% in the last three months. But that doesn't help the fact that the three year return is less impressive. After all, the share price is down 23% in the last three years, significantly under-performing the market.

If the past week is anything to go by, investor sentiment for Autoneum Holding isn't positive, so let's see if there's a mismatch between fundamentals and the share price.

See our latest analysis for Autoneum Holding

In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.

During five years of share price growth, Autoneum Holding moved from a loss to profitability. We would usually expect to see the share price rise as a result. So given the share price is down it's worth checking some other metrics too.

The modest 1.6% dividend yield is unlikely to be guiding the market view of the stock. Revenue is actually up 7.2% over the three years, so the share price drop doesn't seem to hinge on revenue, either. This analysis is just perfunctory, but it might be worth researching Autoneum Holding more closely, as sometimes stocks fall unfairly. This could present an opportunity.

You can see below how earnings and revenue have changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SWX:AUTN Earnings and Revenue Growth April 23rd 2024

We know that Autoneum Holding has improved its bottom line over the last three years, but what does the future have in store? Take a more thorough look at Autoneum Holding's financial health with this free report on its balance sheet.

What About Dividends?

As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. In the case of Autoneum Holding, it has a TSR of -16% for the last 3 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

A Different Perspective

It's good to see that Autoneum Holding has rewarded shareholders with a total shareholder return of 22% in the last twelve months. And that does include the dividend. That gain is better than the annual TSR over five years, which is 4%. Therefore it seems like sentiment around the company has been positive lately. Given the share price momentum remains strong, it might be worth taking a closer look at the stock, lest you miss an opportunity. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Autoneum Holding better, we need to consider many other factors. Case in point: We've spotted 3 warning signs for Autoneum Holding you should be aware of.

Of course Autoneum Holding may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of growth stocks.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Swiss exchanges.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Autoneum Holding is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.