Stock Analysis

Don't Buy Superior Plus Corp. (TSE:SPB) For Its Next Dividend Without Doing These Checks

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TSX:SPB

Regular readers will know that we love our dividends at Simply Wall St, which is why it's exciting to see Superior Plus Corp. (TSE:SPB) is about to trade ex-dividend in the next 3 days. The ex-dividend date is one business day before the record date, which is the cut-off date for shareholders to be present on the company's books to be eligible for a dividend payment. The ex-dividend date is important as the process of settlement involves two full business days. So if you miss that date, you would not show up on the company's books on the record date. Meaning, you will need to purchase Superior Plus' shares before the 27th of March to receive the dividend, which will be paid on the 15th of April.

The company's next dividend payment will be CA$0.18 per share, on the back of last year when the company paid a total of CA$0.72 to shareholders. Calculating the last year's worth of payments shows that Superior Plus has a trailing yield of 7.0% on the current share price of CA$10.22. If you buy this business for its dividend, you should have an idea of whether Superior Plus's dividend is reliable and sustainable. We need to see whether the dividend is covered by earnings and if it's growing.

View our latest analysis for Superior Plus

Dividends are usually paid out of company profits, so if a company pays out more than it earned then its dividend is usually at greater risk of being cut. An unusually high payout ratio of 320% of its profit suggests something is happening other than the usual distribution of profits to shareholders. A useful secondary check can be to evaluate whether Superior Plus generated enough free cash flow to afford its dividend. It distributed 45% of its free cash flow as dividends, a comfortable payout level for most companies.

It's good to see that while Superior Plus's dividends were not covered by profits, at least they are affordable from a cash perspective. If executives were to continue paying more in dividends than the company reported in profits, we'd view this as a warning sign. Very few companies are able to sustainably pay dividends larger than their reported earnings.

Click here to see the company's payout ratio, plus analyst estimates of its future dividends.

TSX:SPB Historic Dividend March 23rd 2024

Have Earnings And Dividends Been Growing?

Businesses with shrinking earnings are tricky from a dividend perspective. If earnings fall far enough, the company could be forced to cut its dividend. Superior Plus's earnings per share have plummeted approximately 30% a year over the previous five years.

Many investors will assess a company's dividend performance by evaluating how much the dividend payments have changed over time. Superior Plus has delivered an average of 1.8% per year annual increase in its dividend, based on the past 10 years of dividend payments.

The Bottom Line

Has Superior Plus got what it takes to maintain its dividend payments? It's not a great combination to see a company with earnings in decline and paying out 320% of its profits, which could imply the dividend may be at risk of being cut in the future. Yet cashflow was much stronger, which makes us wonder if there are some large timing issues in Superior Plus's cash flows, or perhaps the company has written down some assets aggressively, reducing its income. It's not the most attractive proposition from a dividend perspective, and we'd probably give this one a miss for now.

Having said that, if you're looking at this stock without much concern for the dividend, you should still be familiar of the risks involved with Superior Plus. Be aware that Superior Plus is showing 4 warning signs in our investment analysis, and 1 of those can't be ignored...

If you're in the market for strong dividend payers, we recommend checking our selection of top dividend stocks.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.