Stock Analysis

Air Canada (TSE:AC) Is Experiencing Growth In Returns On Capital

Published
TSX:AC

To find a multi-bagger stock, what are the underlying trends we should look for in a business? Firstly, we'd want to identify a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and then alongside that, an ever-increasing base of capital employed. This shows us that it's a compounding machine, able to continually reinvest its earnings back into the business and generate higher returns. Speaking of which, we noticed some great changes in Air Canada's (TSE:AC) returns on capital, so let's have a look.

What Is Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)?

For those who don't know, ROCE is a measure of a company's yearly pre-tax profit (its return), relative to the capital employed in the business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for Air Canada:

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)

0.11 = CA$2.0b ÷ (CA$30b - CA$12b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2024).

Thus, Air Canada has an ROCE of 11%. On its own, that's a standard return, however it's much better than the 9.1% generated by the Airlines industry.

See our latest analysis for Air Canada

TSX:AC Return on Capital Employed October 22nd 2024

Above you can see how the current ROCE for Air Canada compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you're interested, you can view the analysts predictions in our free analyst report for Air Canada .

How Are Returns Trending?

Air Canada is showing promise given that its ROCE is trending up and to the right. The figures show that over the last five years, ROCE has grown 32% whilst employing roughly the same amount of capital. So our take on this is that the business has increased efficiencies to generate these higher returns, all the while not needing to make any additional investments. It's worth looking deeper into this though because while it's great that the business is more efficient, it might also mean that going forward the areas to invest internally for the organic growth are lacking.

The Key Takeaway

As discussed above, Air Canada appears to be getting more proficient at generating returns since capital employed has remained flat but earnings (before interest and tax) are up. Astute investors may have an opportunity here because the stock has declined 60% in the last five years. So researching this company further and determining whether or not these trends will continue seems justified.

Air Canada does have some risks, we noticed 2 warning signs (and 1 which is significant) we think you should know about.

While Air Canada may not currently earn the highest returns, we've compiled a list of companies that currently earn more than 25% return on equity. Check out this free list here.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.