Stock Analysis

Slammed 30% Aurora Spine Corporation (CVE:ASG) Screens Well Here But There Might Be A Catch

Published
TSXV:ASG

The Aurora Spine Corporation (CVE:ASG) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a substantial 30%. The last month has meant the stock is now only up 3.1% during the last year.

Since its price has dipped substantially, Aurora Spine's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.1x might make it look like a strong buy right now compared to the wider Medical Equipment industry in Canada, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 41.8x and even P/S above 666x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly reduced P/S.

View our latest analysis for Aurora Spine

TSXV:ASG Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry February 21st 2025

How Aurora Spine Has Been Performing

The revenue growth achieved at Aurora Spine over the last year would be more than acceptable for most companies. Perhaps the market is expecting this acceptable revenue performance to take a dive, which has kept the P/S suppressed. If that doesn't eventuate, then existing shareholders have reason to be optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Aurora Spine's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/S?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as depressed as Aurora Spine's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry decidedly.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 20% gain to the company's top line. Pleasingly, revenue has also lifted 69% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

This is in contrast to the rest of the industry, which is expected to grow by 9.3% over the next year, materially lower than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

With this in mind, we find it intriguing that Aurora Spine's P/S isn't as high compared to that of its industry peers. Apparently some shareholders believe the recent performance has exceeded its limits and have been accepting significantly lower selling prices.

What We Can Learn From Aurora Spine's P/S?

Having almost fallen off a cliff, Aurora Spine's share price has pulled its P/S way down as well. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

We're very surprised to see Aurora Spine currently trading on a much lower than expected P/S since its recent three-year growth is higher than the wider industry forecast. When we see robust revenue growth that outpaces the industry, we presume that there are notable underlying risks to the company's future performance, which is exerting downward pressure on the P/S ratio. At least price risks look to be very low if recent medium-term revenue trends continue, but investors seem to think future revenue could see a lot of volatility.

Before you take the next step, you should know about the 3 warning signs for Aurora Spine (2 shouldn't be ignored!) that we have uncovered.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.