Stock Analysis

Is Drone Delivery Canada (CVE:FLT) In A Good Position To Invest In Growth?

TSXV:FLT
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Even when a business is losing money, it's possible for shareholders to make money if they buy a good business at the right price. For example, biotech and mining exploration companies often lose money for years before finding success with a new treatment or mineral discovery. But while the successes are well known, investors should not ignore the very many unprofitable companies that simply burn through all their cash and collapse.

So should Drone Delivery Canada (CVE:FLT) shareholders be worried about its cash burn? For the purposes of this article, cash burn is the annual rate at which an unprofitable company spends cash to fund its growth; its negative free cash flow. Let's start with an examination of the business' cash, relative to its cash burn.

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How Long Is Drone Delivery Canada's Cash Runway?

A company's cash runway is calculated by dividing its cash hoard by its cash burn. In September 2023, Drone Delivery Canada had CA$8.9m in cash, and was debt-free. In the last year, its cash burn was CA$9.0m. Therefore, from September 2023 it had roughly 12 months of cash runway. To be frank, this kind of short runway puts us on edge, as it indicates the company must reduce its cash burn significantly, or else raise cash imminently. You can see how its cash balance has changed over time in the image below.

debt-equity-history-analysis
TSXV:FLT Debt to Equity History March 16th 2024

How Is Drone Delivery Canada's Cash Burn Changing Over Time?

Whilst it's great to see that Drone Delivery Canada has already begun generating revenue from operations, last year it only produced CA$1.2m, so we don't think it is generating significant revenue, at this point. Therefore, for the purposes of this analysis we'll focus on how the cash burn is tracking. As it happens, the company's cash burn reduced by 29% over the last year, which suggests that management are mindful of the possibility of running out of cash. Admittedly, we're a bit cautious of Drone Delivery Canada due to its lack of significant operating revenues. We prefer most of the stocks on this list of stocks that analysts expect to grow.

Can Drone Delivery Canada Raise More Cash Easily?

While Drone Delivery Canada is showing a solid reduction in its cash burn, it's still worth considering how easily it could raise more cash, even just to fuel faster growth. Generally speaking, a listed business can raise new cash through issuing shares or taking on debt. Many companies end up issuing new shares to fund future growth. We can compare a company's cash burn to its market capitalisation to get a sense for how many new shares a company would have to issue to fund one year's operations.

Drone Delivery Canada has a market capitalisation of CA$53m and burnt through CA$9.0m last year, which is 17% of the company's market value. As a result, we'd venture that the company could raise more cash for growth without much trouble, albeit at the cost of some dilution.

How Risky Is Drone Delivery Canada's Cash Burn Situation?

Even though its cash runway makes us a little nervous, we are compelled to mention that we thought Drone Delivery Canada's cash burn reduction was relatively promising. We don't think its cash burn is particularly problematic, but after considering the range of factors in this article, we do think shareholders should be monitoring how it changes over time. Separately, we looked at different risks affecting the company and spotted 4 warning signs for Drone Delivery Canada (of which 2 are potentially serious!) you should know about.

If you would prefer to check out another company with better fundamentals, then do not miss this free list of interesting companies, that have HIGH return on equity and low debt or this list of stocks which are all forecast to grow.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.