Stock Analysis
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- BOVESPA:DESK3
Desktop S.A. (BVMF:DESK3) Stocks Pounded By 25% But Not Lagging Market On Growth Or Pricing
Unfortunately for some shareholders, the Desktop S.A. (BVMF:DESK3) share price has dived 25% in the last thirty days, prolonging recent pain. Instead of being rewarded, shareholders who have already held through the last twelve months are now sitting on a 26% share price drop.
In spite of the heavy fall in price, Desktop may still be sending very bearish signals at the moment with a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 12.7x, since almost half of all companies in Brazil have P/E ratios under 8x and even P/E's lower than 5x are not unusual. However, the P/E might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
Desktop could be doing better as its earnings have been going backwards lately while most other companies have been seeing positive earnings growth. One possibility is that the P/E is high because investors think this poor earnings performance will turn the corner. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
View our latest analysis for Desktop
Keen to find out how analysts think Desktop's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.Is There Enough Growth For Desktop?
Desktop's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the market.
If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 7.1%. However, a few very strong years before that means that it was still able to grow EPS by an impressive 156% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, while they would have preferred to keep the run going, shareholders would probably welcome the medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 123% as estimated by the six analysts watching the company. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 17% growth forecast for the broader market.
With this information, we can see why Desktop is trading at such a high P/E compared to the market. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.
The Bottom Line On Desktop's P/E
A significant share price dive has done very little to deflate Desktop's very lofty P/E. Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
We've established that Desktop maintains its high P/E on the strength of its forecast growth being higher than the wider market, as expected. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/E as they are quite confident future earnings aren't under threat. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.
And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Desktop you should know about.
You might be able to find a better investment than Desktop. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About BOVESPA:DESK3
Desktop
Provides fixed telephony, broadband internet, and television by subscription services in Brazil.